**Trader consensus centers on a narrow 31–33°C range for Chengdu’s August 21 maximum because short-range model guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles shows afternoon highs clustered near 30–32°C amid humid subtropical summer conditions.** Recent runs indicate a mix of partly cloudy skies and possible scattered showers or thunderstorms, which can suppress peak temperatures by 1–2°C depending on timing and coverage. Historical August averages hover around 31–32°C, with high humidity and Sichuan Basin topography favoring afternoon convection that introduces day-to-day variability. The tight market distribution (32°C at 33%, 31°C at 28.5%, 33°C at 27%) reflects this genuine forecast uncertainty, with traders weighting the latest model consensus and expected cloud/rain impacts ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chengdu am 21. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Chengdu am 21. August?
33°C 30%
31°C 23%
32°C 22%
34°C 16%
NEU
NEU
21. Aug. 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
5%
29°C
7%
30°C
9%
31°C
23%
32°C
22%
33°C
30%
34°C
16%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
33°C 30%
31°C 23%
32°C 22%
34°C 16%
NEU
NEU
21. Aug. 2026
26°C or below
$126 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$35 Vol.
3%
28°C
$75 Vol.
5%
29°C
$34 Vol.
7%
30°C
$50 Vol.
9%
31°C
$39 Vol.
23%
32°C
$10 Vol.
22%
33°C
$39 Vol.
30%
34°C
$8 Vol.
16%
35°C
$81 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$25 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a narrow 31–33°C range for Chengdu’s August 21 maximum because short-range model guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles shows afternoon highs clustered near 30–32°C amid humid subtropical summer conditions.** Recent runs indicate a mix of partly cloudy skies and possible scattered showers or thunderstorms, which can suppress peak temperatures by 1–2°C depending on timing and coverage. Historical August averages hover around 31–32°C, with high humidity and Sichuan Basin topography favoring afternoon convection that introduces day-to-day variability. The tight market distribution (32°C at 33%, 31°C at 28.5%, 33°C at 27%) reflects this genuine forecast uncertainty, with traders weighting the latest model consensus and expected cloud/rain impacts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$523Enddatum
21. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a narrow 31–33°C range for Chengdu’s August 21 maximum because short-range model guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles shows afternoon highs clustered near 30–32°C amid humid subtropical summer conditions.** Recent runs indicate a mix of partly cloudy skies and possible scattered showers or thunderstorms, which can suppress peak temperatures by 1–2°C depending on timing and coverage. Historical August averages hover around 31–32°C, with high humidity and Sichuan Basin topography favoring afternoon convection that introduces day-to-day variability. The tight market distribution (32°C at 33%, 31°C at 28.5%, 33°C at 27%) reflects this genuine forecast uncertainty, with traders weighting the latest model consensus and expected cloud/rain impacts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$523Enddatum
21. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on a narrow 31–33°C range for Chengdu’s August 21 maximum because short-range model guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles shows afternoon highs clustered near 30–32°C amid humid subtropical summer conditions.** Recent runs indicate a mix of partly cloudy skies and possible scattered showers or thunderstorms, which can suppress peak temperatures by 1–2°C depending on timing and coverage. Historical August averages hover around 31–32°C, with high humidity and Sichuan Basin topography favoring afternoon convection that introduces day-to-day variability. The tight market distribution (32°C at 33%, 31°C at 28.5%, 33°C at 27%) reflects this genuine forecast uncertainty, with traders weighting the latest model consensus and expected cloud/rain impacts ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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