Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and local meteorological updates point to a July 26 high near 35–36°C in Chengdu, with cloud cover, possible thundershowers, and moderate humidity moderating peak values despite the Sichuan basin’s heat-trapping topography. Trader consensus clusters around 37–40°C because early-July observations showed sustained 36–38°C readings amid an unusually active heat episode, and subtle model spreads in steering patterns or reduced rainfall could allow brief intensification. Historical July baselines average 30–31°C, yet recent years exhibit more frequent excursions above 35°C tied to broader warming trends. Resolution hinges on official station measurements at the precise daily maximum, leaving room for last-minute shifts from updated guidance or localized convective activity.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chengdu am 26. Juli?
38°C 31%
39°C 24%
37°C 20%
40°C 14%
33°C or below
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
5%
36°C
10%
37°C
20%
38°C
31%
39°C
24%
40°C
14%
41°C
4%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
38°C 31%
39°C 24%
37°C 20%
40°C 14%
33°C or below
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
5%
36°C
10%
37°C
20%
38°C
31%
39°C
24%
40°C
14%
41°C
4%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and local meteorological updates point to a July 26 high near 35–36°C in Chengdu, with cloud cover, possible thundershowers, and moderate humidity moderating peak values despite the Sichuan basin’s heat-trapping topography. Trader consensus clusters around 37–40°C because early-July observations showed sustained 36–38°C readings amid an unusually active heat episode, and subtle model spreads in steering patterns or reduced rainfall could allow brief intensification. Historical July baselines average 30–31°C, yet recent years exhibit more frequent excursions above 35°C tied to broader warming trends. Resolution hinges on official station measurements at the precise daily maximum, leaving room for last-minute shifts from updated guidance or localized convective activity.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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