Short-term numerical weather prediction models indicate mostly clear to hazy skies over Chengdu on September 3, supporting surface heating under a broad high-pressure ridge with light winds and minimal cloud cover. This setup favors daily maxima clustering in the low-to-mid 30s °C, consistent with early-September climatology of 28–33 °C highs and the narrow spread among leading market outcomes (32–34 °C). Key differentiating factors include exact timing of any residual moisture or aerosol loading that could modestly suppress peak insolation, versus stronger subsidence warming that pushes readings toward 35 °C. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble runs will refine these details ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chengdu am 3. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Chengdu am 3. September?
34°C 23%
33°C 21%
31°C 20%
35°C 16%
NEU
NEU
3. Sep. 2026
27°C or below
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
7%
31°C
11%
32°C
16%
33°C
21%
34°C
23%
35°C
16%
36°C
10%
37°C or higher
10%
34°C 23%
33°C 21%
31°C 20%
35°C 16%
NEU
NEU
3. Sep. 2026
27°C or below
$10 Vol.
2%
28°C
$10 Vol.
2%
29°C
$5 Vol.
4%
30°C
$16 Vol.
7%
31°C
$30 Vol.
11%
32°C
$0 Vol.
16%
33°C
$0 Vol.
21%
34°C
$0 Vol.
23%
35°C
$5 Vol.
16%
36°C
$5 Vol.
10%
37°C or higher
$5 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term numerical weather prediction models indicate mostly clear to hazy skies over Chengdu on September 3, supporting surface heating under a broad high-pressure ridge with light winds and minimal cloud cover. This setup favors daily maxima clustering in the low-to-mid 30s °C, consistent with early-September climatology of 28–33 °C highs and the narrow spread among leading market outcomes (32–34 °C). Key differentiating factors include exact timing of any residual moisture or aerosol loading that could modestly suppress peak insolation, versus stronger subsidence warming that pushes readings toward 35 °C. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble runs will refine these details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$86Enddatum
3. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term numerical weather prediction models indicate mostly clear to hazy skies over Chengdu on September 3, supporting surface heating under a broad high-pressure ridge with light winds and minimal cloud cover. This setup favors daily maxima clustering in the low-to-mid 30s °C, consistent with early-September climatology of 28–33 °C highs and the narrow spread among leading market outcomes (32–34 °C). Key differentiating factors include exact timing of any residual moisture or aerosol loading that could modestly suppress peak insolation, versus stronger subsidence warming that pushes readings toward 35 °C. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble runs will refine these details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$86Enddatum
3. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Short-term numerical weather prediction models indicate mostly clear to hazy skies over Chengdu on September 3, supporting surface heating under a broad high-pressure ridge with light winds and minimal cloud cover. This setup favors daily maxima clustering in the low-to-mid 30s °C, consistent with early-September climatology of 28–33 °C highs and the narrow spread among leading market outcomes (32–34 °C). Key differentiating factors include exact timing of any residual moisture or aerosol loading that could modestly suppress peak insolation, versus stronger subsidence warming that pushes readings toward 35 °C. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble runs will refine these details ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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