Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration currently point to peak highs near 40°C in Chongqing on July 14, driven by subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and strong solar insolation amid the region's typical summer monsoon lull. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 39–41°C because minor variations in predicted wind shear, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island amplification can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical July climatology shows average highs of 33–35°C, yet recent multi-day heat anomalies have elevated baseline temperatures, increasing the probability of exceeding 40°C while keeping extremes above 43°C unlikely without an unexpected ridge strengthening. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these narrow thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chongqing am 14. Juli?
Höchste Temperatur in Chongqing am 14. Juli?
41°C 100.0%
36°C oder darunter <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$64,386 Vol.
$64,386 Vol.
14. Juli 2026
36°C oder darunter
Nein
37°C
Nein
38°C
Nein
39°C
Nein
40°C
Nein
41°C
Ja
42°C
Nein
43°C
Nein
44°C
Nein
45°C
Nein
46°C oder höher
Nein
41°C 100.0%
36°C oder darunter <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$64,386 Vol.
$64,386 Vol.
14. Juli 2026
36°C oder darunter
$2,950 Vol.
Nein
37°C
$3,400 Vol.
Nein
38°C
$5,754 Vol.
Nein
39°C
$7,515 Vol.
Nein
40°C
$7,963 Vol.
Nein
41°C
$6,984 Vol.
Ja
42°C
$8,384 Vol.
Nein
43°C
$14,965 Vol.
Nein
44°C
$4,636 Vol.
Nein
45°C
$1,396 Vol.
Nein
46°C oder höher
$440 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration currently point to peak highs near 40°C in Chongqing on July 14, driven by subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and strong solar insolation amid the region's typical summer monsoon lull. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 39–41°C because minor variations in predicted wind shear, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island amplification can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical July climatology shows average highs of 33–35°C, yet recent multi-day heat anomalies have elevated baseline temperatures, increasing the probability of exceeding 40°C while keeping extremes above 43°C unlikely without an unexpected ridge strengthening. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these narrow thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volumen
$64,386Enddatum
14. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration currently point to peak highs near 40°C in Chongqing on July 14, driven by subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and strong solar insolation amid the region's typical summer monsoon lull. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 39–41°C because minor variations in predicted wind shear, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island amplification can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical July climatology shows average highs of 33–35°C, yet recent multi-day heat anomalies have elevated baseline temperatures, increasing the probability of exceeding 40°C while keeping extremes above 43°C unlikely without an unexpected ridge strengthening. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these narrow thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$64,386Enddatum
14. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration currently point to peak highs near 40°C in Chongqing on July 14, driven by subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and strong solar insolation amid the region's typical summer monsoon lull. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 39–41°C because minor variations in predicted wind shear, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island amplification can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical July climatology shows average highs of 33–35°C, yet recent multi-day heat anomalies have elevated baseline temperatures, increasing the probability of exceeding 40°C while keeping extremes above 43°C unlikely without an unexpected ridge strengthening. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these narrow thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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