Latest numerical weather prediction models show substantial uncertainty in Chongqing's peak temperature on July 22, with ensemble guidance clustering between 38–41°C amid variable monsoon influences and urban heat island effects. Recent upper-air analyses indicate modest subsidence and light winds that could limit mixing, while soil moisture from prior rainfall may moderate daytime highs. Historical July climatology for the region features frequent exceedances of 38°C, yet day-to-day model spread remains wide due to sensitivity in boundary-layer parameterization. Traders appear to weigh the latest CMA and global ensemble outputs most heavily, with resolution hinging on verified observations from official stations. Additional model runs and satellite-derived surface data expected within 48 hours could narrow the distribution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chongqing am 22. Juli?
Höchste Temperatur in Chongqing am 22. Juli?
40°C 100.0%
35°C or below <1%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
$57,372 Vol.
$57,372 Vol.
22. Juli 2026
35°C or below
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
Yes
41°C
Nein
42°C
Nein
43°C
Nein
44°C
Nein
45°C oder höher
Nein
40°C 100.0%
35°C or below <1%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
$57,372 Vol.
$57,372 Vol.
22. Juli 2026
35°C or below
$727 Vol.
No
36°C
$4,643 Vol.
No
37°C
$2,810 Vol.
No
38°C
$5,014 Vol.
No
39°C
$5,850 Vol.
No
40°C
$20,756 Vol.
Yes
41°C
$6,369 Vol.
Nein
42°C
$8,047 Vol.
Nein
43°C
$2,476 Vol.
Nein
44°C
$343 Vol.
Nein
45°C oder höher
$337 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models show substantial uncertainty in Chongqing's peak temperature on July 22, with ensemble guidance clustering between 38–41°C amid variable monsoon influences and urban heat island effects. Recent upper-air analyses indicate modest subsidence and light winds that could limit mixing, while soil moisture from prior rainfall may moderate daytime highs. Historical July climatology for the region features frequent exceedances of 38°C, yet day-to-day model spread remains wide due to sensitivity in boundary-layer parameterization. Traders appear to weigh the latest CMA and global ensemble outputs most heavily, with resolution hinging on verified observations from official stations. Additional model runs and satellite-derived surface data expected within 48 hours could narrow the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 20, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volumen
$57,372Enddatum
22. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 20, 2026, 12:11 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models show substantial uncertainty in Chongqing's peak temperature on July 22, with ensemble guidance clustering between 38–41°C amid variable monsoon influences and urban heat island effects. Recent upper-air analyses indicate modest subsidence and light winds that could limit mixing, while soil moisture from prior rainfall may moderate daytime highs. Historical July climatology for the region features frequent exceedances of 38°C, yet day-to-day model spread remains wide due to sensitivity in boundary-layer parameterization. Traders appear to weigh the latest CMA and global ensemble outputs most heavily, with resolution hinging on verified observations from official stations. Additional model runs and satellite-derived surface data expected within 48 hours could narrow the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$57,372Enddatum
22. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 20, 2026, 12:11 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Latest numerical weather prediction models show substantial uncertainty in Chongqing's peak temperature on July 22, with ensemble guidance clustering between 38–41°C amid variable monsoon influences and urban heat island effects. Recent upper-air analyses indicate modest subsidence and light winds that could limit mixing, while soil moisture from prior rainfall may moderate daytime highs. Historical July climatology for the region features frequent exceedances of 38°C, yet day-to-day model spread remains wide due to sensitivity in boundary-layer parameterization. Traders appear to weigh the latest CMA and global ensemble outputs most heavily, with resolution hinging on verified observations from official stations. Additional model runs and satellite-derived surface data expected within 48 hours could narrow the distribution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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