Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like China's National Meteorological Center points to mostly sunny skies and light easterly winds over Chongqing on September 2, supporting surface heating under subsiding air with minimal cloud cover or moisture advection. This setup favors a daily maximum near 33–35 °C, aligning with the market's tight clustering of implied odds around those thresholds and the modest probabilities assigned to 38 °C or higher. Light precipitation chances and stable steering patterns reduce upside volatility, while typical early-September climatology—still influenced by lingering summer warmth before stronger autumn cooling arrives later in the month—caps downside risk. Traders appear to weigh small inter-model spread in boundary-layer temperature and insolation against the narrow 24-hour resolution window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chongqing am 2. September?
35°C 47%
34°C 40%
33°C 12%
31°C 11%
28°C or below
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
10%
31°C
11%
32°C
8%
33°C
12%
34°C
40%
35°C
47%
36°C
10%
37°C
10%
38°C or higher
10%
35°C 47%
34°C 40%
33°C 12%
31°C 11%
28°C or below
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
10%
31°C
11%
32°C
8%
33°C
12%
34°C
40%
35°C
47%
36°C
10%
37°C
10%
38°C or higher
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like China's National Meteorological Center points to mostly sunny skies and light easterly winds over Chongqing on September 2, supporting surface heating under subsiding air with minimal cloud cover or moisture advection. This setup favors a daily maximum near 33–35 °C, aligning with the market's tight clustering of implied odds around those thresholds and the modest probabilities assigned to 38 °C or higher. Light precipitation chances and stable steering patterns reduce upside volatility, while typical early-September climatology—still influenced by lingering summer warmth before stronger autumn cooling arrives later in the month—caps downside risk. Traders appear to weigh small inter-model spread in boundary-layer temperature and insolation against the narrow 24-hour resolution window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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