Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas-Fort Worth project highs of 82-85°F on April 16, aligning trader sentiment with the leading 84-85°F outcome at 34.5% market-implied probability amid a broad distribution signaling high uncertainty. Following a record 95°F high on April 14, southerly winds and partly cloudy skies from NOAA's spring outlook for above-normal temperatures support mid-80s peaks, though an approaching dryline may spark isolated thunderstorms, capping potential for 90°F+ outcomes. Key variables include cloud cover duration, convective timing per GFS and ECMWF model ensembles, and boundary layer mixing; minimal precipitation risk favors warmer bins. Watch evening model runs and the 6 a.m. NWS update for refinements before resolution at DFW Airport's official observation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Dallas am 16. April?
Höchste Temperatur in Dallas am 16. April?
84-85°F 35%
82-83°F 21%
86-87°F 21%
88-89°F 12%
75°F oder niedriger
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
21%
84-85°F
35%
86-87°F
21%
88-89°F
12%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
2%
94°F oder höher
1%
84-85°F 35%
82-83°F 21%
86-87°F 21%
88-89°F 12%
75°F oder niedriger
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
21%
84-85°F
35%
86-87°F
21%
88-89°F
12%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
2%
94°F oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas-Fort Worth project highs of 82-85°F on April 16, aligning trader sentiment with the leading 84-85°F outcome at 34.5% market-implied probability amid a broad distribution signaling high uncertainty. Following a record 95°F high on April 14, southerly winds and partly cloudy skies from NOAA's spring outlook for above-normal temperatures support mid-80s peaks, though an approaching dryline may spark isolated thunderstorms, capping potential for 90°F+ outcomes. Key variables include cloud cover duration, convective timing per GFS and ECMWF model ensembles, and boundary layer mixing; minimal precipitation risk favors warmer bins. Watch evening model runs and the 6 a.m. NWS update for refinements before resolution at DFW Airport's official observation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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