Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around mid-to-upper 70s highs for Dallas on April 18, with 76-77°F leading at 23% implied probability, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts projecting peaks near 80°F amid above-normal spring temperatures per NOAA outlooks, tempered by recent thunderstorm activity and persistent cloudiness. Southerly winds around 10-15 mph promote warm advection, but lingering humidity from early April storms and potential light showers introduce uncertainty, differentiating lower outcomes like 74-75°F if overcast conditions prevail longer. Ensemble models (GFS, ECMWF) show variability of 2-5°F, with NWS updates and 12z runs expected today clarifying intensification or diurnal heating potential before resolution at DFW airport.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Dallas on April 18?
Highest temperature in Dallas on April 18?
76-77°F 18%
68-69°F 16%
78-79°F 16%
74-75°F 14%
67°F or below
1%
68-69°F
9%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
17%
74-75°F
14%
76-77°F
18%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
8%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 18%
68-69°F 16%
78-79°F 16%
74-75°F 14%
67°F or below
1%
68-69°F
9%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
17%
74-75°F
14%
76-77°F
18%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
8%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around mid-to-upper 70s highs for Dallas on April 18, with 76-77°F leading at 23% implied probability, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts projecting peaks near 80°F amid above-normal spring temperatures per NOAA outlooks, tempered by recent thunderstorm activity and persistent cloudiness. Southerly winds around 10-15 mph promote warm advection, but lingering humidity from early April storms and potential light showers introduce uncertainty, differentiating lower outcomes like 74-75°F if overcast conditions prevail longer. Ensemble models (GFS, ECMWF) show variability of 2-5°F, with NWS updates and 12z runs expected today clarifying intensification or diurnal heating potential before resolution at DFW airport.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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