Current National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for Dallas on July 17 points to a modest high near the mid-90s, driving the leading 29.5% implied probability on 92-93°F amid scattered clouds and possible afternoon convection that limits full solar heating. Elevated uncertainty across the distribution arises from variable steering flows, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects that can shift the peak by several degrees. Historical July averages near 96°F provide context, yet short-term model spreads—particularly in timing of any seabreeze or thunderstorm initiation—keep outcomes from 88°F to the upper 90s viable. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon soundings tomorrow will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Dallas am 17. Juli?
94-95°F 100.0%
83°F oder weniger <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$46,875 Vol.
$46,875 Vol.
83°F oder weniger
Nein
84-85°F
Nein
86-87°F
Nein
88-89°F
Nein
90-91°F
Nein
92-93°F
Nein
94-95°F
Ja
96-97°F
Nein
98-99°F
Nein
100-101°F
Nein
102°F oder höher
Nein
94-95°F 100.0%
83°F oder weniger <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$46,875 Vol.
$46,875 Vol.
83°F oder weniger
Nein
84-85°F
Nein
86-87°F
Nein
88-89°F
Nein
90-91°F
Nein
92-93°F
Nein
94-95°F
Ja
96-97°F
Nein
98-99°F
Nein
100-101°F
Nein
102°F oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 15, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Current National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for Dallas on July 17 points to a modest high near the mid-90s, driving the leading 29.5% implied probability on 92-93°F amid scattered clouds and possible afternoon convection that limits full solar heating. Elevated uncertainty across the distribution arises from variable steering flows, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects that can shift the peak by several degrees. Historical July averages near 96°F provide context, yet short-term model spreads—particularly in timing of any seabreeze or thunderstorm initiation—keep outcomes from 88°F to the upper 90s viable. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon soundings tomorrow will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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