Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance positions the 98-99°F range as the leading outcome for Dallas's July 19 high, reflecting typical mid-summer conditions with strong solar heating, southerly flow, and limited cloud cover expected to support temperatures near or slightly above the 96-101°F July climatological average. The 96-97°F and 100-101°F brackets capture model spread arising from uncertainties in afternoon mixing, dew points, and any late-day convection that could cap or enhance the peak. Current surface observations near 94°F on July 18, combined with persistent heat across the southern Plains, reinforce trader consensus around these central bins while assigning low probability to extremes outside 94-101°F. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through the overnight period remain key variables ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Dallas am 19. Juli?
98–99°F 100.0%
91°F oder weniger <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$48,411 Vol.
$48,411 Vol.
91°F oder weniger
Nein
92-93°F
Nein
94-95°F
Nein
96-97°F
Nein
98–99°F
Ja
100-101°F
Nein
102-103°F
Nein
104-105°F
Nein
106-107°F
Nein
108-109°F
Nein
110°F oder höher
Nein
98–99°F 100.0%
91°F oder weniger <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$48,411 Vol.
$48,411 Vol.
91°F oder weniger
Nein
92-93°F
Nein
94-95°F
Nein
96-97°F
Nein
98–99°F
Ja
100-101°F
Nein
102-103°F
Nein
104-105°F
Nein
106-107°F
Nein
108-109°F
Nein
110°F oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 17, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance positions the 98-99°F range as the leading outcome for Dallas's July 19 high, reflecting typical mid-summer conditions with strong solar heating, southerly flow, and limited cloud cover expected to support temperatures near or slightly above the 96-101°F July climatological average. The 96-97°F and 100-101°F brackets capture model spread arising from uncertainties in afternoon mixing, dew points, and any late-day convection that could cap or enhance the peak. Current surface observations near 94°F on July 18, combined with persistent heat across the southern Plains, reinforce trader consensus around these central bins while assigning low probability to extremes outside 94-101°F. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through the overnight period remain key variables ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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