Current National Weather Service and NOAA forecast models indicate a highest temperature in Dallas on July 6 most likely in the mid-90s, driven by typical July high-pressure patterns with light southerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity limiting daytime heating. Trader consensus across closely matched leading outcomes (93°F or below at 26.5% implied probability and 94-95°F at 23.5%) reflects uncertainty in exact peak values, as small shifts in cloud cover, dew points, or steering winds could alter the high by several degrees. Historical July averages near 95°F and a 105°F record on this date provide context, but short-term model runs show limited spread, keeping probabilities concentrated below 100°F. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations tomorrow will determine final resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Dallas am 6. Juli?
98-99°F 100.0%
93°F or below <1%
94-95°F <1%
96-97°F <1%
$68,263 Vol.
$68,263 Vol.
93°F or below
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
Yes
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
No
104-105°F
No
106-107°F
No
108-109°F
No
110-111°F
No
112°F or higher
No
98-99°F 100.0%
93°F or below <1%
94-95°F <1%
96-97°F <1%
$68,263 Vol.
$68,263 Vol.
93°F or below
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
Yes
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
No
104-105°F
No
106-107°F
No
108-109°F
No
110-111°F
No
112°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Current National Weather Service and NOAA forecast models indicate a highest temperature in Dallas on July 6 most likely in the mid-90s, driven by typical July high-pressure patterns with light southerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity limiting daytime heating. Trader consensus across closely matched leading outcomes (93°F or below at 26.5% implied probability and 94-95°F at 23.5%) reflects uncertainty in exact peak values, as small shifts in cloud cover, dew points, or steering winds could alter the high by several degrees. Historical July averages near 95°F and a 105°F record on this date provide context, but short-term model runs show limited spread, keeping probabilities concentrated below 100°F. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations tomorrow will determine final resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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