Current ensemble forecasts from regional models place Guangzhou's July 22 high in the 32–34 °C range, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure and high humidity typical of the Pearl River Delta in midsummer favor daytime heat buildup, while scattered monsoon showers and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty that can shave 1–2 °C off peak readings. Recent model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow, keeping the distribution narrow. Traders weigh official CMA guidance and ECMWF updates expected over the next 48 hours, which will refine resolution criteria for the single highest recorded temperature.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Guangzhou am 22. Juli?
Höchste Temperatur in Guangzhou am 22. Juli?
34°C 100.0%
26°C oder darunter <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$56,676 Vol.
$56,676 Vol.
22. Juli 2026
26°C oder darunter
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C
Nein
32°C
Nein
33°C
Nein
34°C
Ja
35°C
Nein
36°C oder höher
Nein
34°C 100.0%
26°C oder darunter <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$56,676 Vol.
$56,676 Vol.
22. Juli 2026
26°C oder darunter
$390 Vol.
Nein
27°C
$115 Vol.
Nein
28°C
$1,182 Vol.
Nein
29°C
$1,900 Vol.
Nein
30°C
$2,462 Vol.
Nein
31°C
$3,479 Vol.
Nein
32°C
$5,745 Vol.
Nein
33°C
$6,844 Vol.
Nein
34°C
$15,890 Vol.
Ja
35°C
$8,177 Vol.
Nein
36°C oder höher
$10,493 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from regional models place Guangzhou's July 22 high in the 32–34 °C range, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure and high humidity typical of the Pearl River Delta in midsummer favor daytime heat buildup, while scattered monsoon showers and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty that can shave 1–2 °C off peak readings. Recent model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow, keeping the distribution narrow. Traders weigh official CMA guidance and ECMWF updates expected over the next 48 hours, which will refine resolution criteria for the single highest recorded temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 20, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Volumen
$56,676Enddatum
22. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 20, 2026, 12:15 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from regional models place Guangzhou's July 22 high in the 32–34 °C range, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure and high humidity typical of the Pearl River Delta in midsummer favor daytime heat buildup, while scattered monsoon showers and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty that can shave 1–2 °C off peak readings. Recent model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow, keeping the distribution narrow. Traders weigh official CMA guidance and ECMWF updates expected over the next 48 hours, which will refine resolution criteria for the single highest recorded temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$56,676Enddatum
22. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 20, 2026, 12:15 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Current ensemble forecasts from regional models place Guangzhou's July 22 high in the 32–34 °C range, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure and high humidity typical of the Pearl River Delta in midsummer favor daytime heat buildup, while scattered monsoon showers and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty that can shave 1–2 °C off peak readings. Recent model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow, keeping the distribution narrow. Traders weigh official CMA guidance and ECMWF updates expected over the next 48 hours, which will refine resolution criteria for the single highest recorded temperature.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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