Latest numerical weather prediction models, including those from the China Meteorological Administration, indicate persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and widespread showers over Guangzhou on July 29, suppressing daytime heating below the typical July average high of 33°C. Subtropical moisture advection from the South China Sea and a nearby trough are driving these conditions, with ensemble forecasts converging on maxima of 29–32°C. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 30–31°C outcomes, though model spread introduces uncertainty around exact peaks; updated runs and observational data from the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Guangzhou am 29. Juli?
Höchste Temperatur in Guangzhou am 29. Juli?
30°C 30%
31°C 27%
29°C 20%
32°C 13%
NEU
NEU
29. Juli 2026
25°C oder weniger
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
7%
29°C
20%
30°C
30%
31°C
27%
32°C
13%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C oder höher
1%
30°C 30%
31°C 27%
29°C 20%
32°C 13%
NEU
NEU
29. Juli 2026
25°C oder weniger
$60 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$95 Vol.
1%
27°C
$606 Vol.
4%
28°C
$95 Vol.
7%
29°C
$197 Vol.
20%
30°C
$71 Vol.
30%
31°C
$266 Vol.
27%
32°C
$157 Vol.
13%
33°C
$457 Vol.
4%
34°C
$208 Vol.
1%
35°C oder höher
$143 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including those from the China Meteorological Administration, indicate persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and widespread showers over Guangzhou on July 29, suppressing daytime heating below the typical July average high of 33°C. Subtropical moisture advection from the South China Sea and a nearby trough are driving these conditions, with ensemble forecasts converging on maxima of 29–32°C. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 30–31°C outcomes, though model spread introduces uncertainty around exact peaks; updated runs and observational data from the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 27, 2026, 4:06 AM ET
Volumen
$2,354Enddatum
29. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 27, 2026, 4:06 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including those from the China Meteorological Administration, indicate persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and widespread showers over Guangzhou on July 29, suppressing daytime heating below the typical July average high of 33°C. Subtropical moisture advection from the South China Sea and a nearby trough are driving these conditions, with ensemble forecasts converging on maxima of 29–32°C. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 30–31°C outcomes, though model spread introduces uncertainty around exact peaks; updated runs and observational data from the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,354Enddatum
29. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 27, 2026, 4:06 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models, including those from the China Meteorological Administration, indicate persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and widespread showers over Guangzhou on July 29, suppressing daytime heating below the typical July average high of 33°C. Subtropical moisture advection from the South China Sea and a nearby trough are driving these conditions, with ensemble forecasts converging on maxima of 29–32°C. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 30–31°C outcomes, though model spread introduces uncertainty around exact peaks; updated runs and observational data from the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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