Current short-range forecasts from models including those referenced by the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum temperature of 33–34 °C on June 24, with scattered showers and persistent high humidity likely moderating peak values. These conditions align with the closely matched market-implied odds for 33 °C and 34 °C, reflecting minor differences among ensemble runs on cloud cover, timing of precipitation, and steering flow from the southwest monsoon. Above-normal seasonal temperatures provide background support, yet the narrow spread between leading outcomes stems from typical late-June variability in convective activity and urban heat retention. Updated model guidance and official daily bulletins through June 23 will clarify whether daytime heating reaches the higher threshold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 24. Juni?
Höchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 24. Juni?
32°C 100.0%
26°C oder darunter <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$193,684 Vol.
$193,684 Vol.
24. Juni 2026
26°C oder darunter
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C
Nein
32°C
Ja
33°C
Nein
34°C
Nein
35°C
Nein
36°C oder höher
Nein
32°C 100.0%
26°C oder darunter <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$193,684 Vol.
$193,684 Vol.
24. Juni 2026
26°C oder darunter
$1,261 Vol.
Nein
27°C
$156 Vol.
Nein
28°C
$262 Vol.
Nein
29°C
$770 Vol.
Nein
30°C
$5,928 Vol.
Nein
31°C
$25,402 Vol.
Nein
32°C
$59,475 Vol.
Ja
33°C
$44,157 Vol.
Nein
34°C
$34,623 Vol.
Nein
35°C
$11,853 Vol.
Nein
36°C oder höher
$9,797 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current short-range forecasts from models including those referenced by the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum temperature of 33–34 °C on June 24, with scattered showers and persistent high humidity likely moderating peak values. These conditions align with the closely matched market-implied odds for 33 °C and 34 °C, reflecting minor differences among ensemble runs on cloud cover, timing of precipitation, and steering flow from the southwest monsoon. Above-normal seasonal temperatures provide background support, yet the narrow spread between leading outcomes stems from typical late-June variability in convective activity and urban heat retention. Updated model guidance and official daily bulletins through June 23 will clarify whether daytime heating reaches the higher threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 22, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$193,684Enddatum
24. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 22, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current short-range forecasts from models including those referenced by the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum temperature of 33–34 °C on June 24, with scattered showers and persistent high humidity likely moderating peak values. These conditions align with the closely matched market-implied odds for 33 °C and 34 °C, reflecting minor differences among ensemble runs on cloud cover, timing of precipitation, and steering flow from the southwest monsoon. Above-normal seasonal temperatures provide background support, yet the narrow spread between leading outcomes stems from typical late-June variability in convective activity and urban heat retention. Updated model guidance and official daily bulletins through June 23 will clarify whether daytime heating reaches the higher threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$193,684Enddatum
24. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 22, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Current short-range forecasts from models including those referenced by the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum temperature of 33–34 °C on June 24, with scattered showers and persistent high humidity likely moderating peak values. These conditions align with the closely matched market-implied odds for 33 °C and 34 °C, reflecting minor differences among ensemble runs on cloud cover, timing of precipitation, and steering flow from the southwest monsoon. Above-normal seasonal temperatures provide background support, yet the narrow spread between leading outcomes stems from typical late-June variability in convective activity and urban heat retention. Updated model guidance and official daily bulletins through June 23 will clarify whether daytime heating reaches the higher threshold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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