Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate above-normal temperatures for late June 2026, with daily highs expected near 32–34°C on the 25th amid developing El Niño conditions that enhance regional warmth. Afternoon convection, cloud cover, and sea breezes typical of the summer monsoon often cap peak readings, while clear periods allow greater diurnal heating. Historical June averages hover around 31–32°C, but the seasonal outlook favors warmer anomalies. Traders see 32°C and 33°C as the tightest outcomes because short-term model runs show limited spread, with resolution hinging on exact cloud timing and wind patterns over the next 48 hours.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 25?
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$199,102 Vol.
$199,102 Vol.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C
Nein
32°C
Ja
33°C
Nein
34°C
Nein
35°C
Nein
36°C
Nein
37°C oder höher
Nein
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$199,102 Vol.
$199,102 Vol.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C
Nein
32°C
Ja
33°C
Nein
34°C
Nein
35°C
Nein
36°C
Nein
37°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 23, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate above-normal temperatures for late June 2026, with daily highs expected near 32–34°C on the 25th amid developing El Niño conditions that enhance regional warmth. Afternoon convection, cloud cover, and sea breezes typical of the summer monsoon often cap peak readings, while clear periods allow greater diurnal heating. Historical June averages hover around 31–32°C, but the seasonal outlook favors warmer anomalies. Traders see 32°C and 33°C as the tightest outcomes because short-term model runs show limited spread, with resolution hinging on exact cloud timing and wind patterns over the next 48 hours.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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