Hong Kong Observatory's official meteorological observations confirm the highest air temperature on May 9, 2026, reached exactly 26°C, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome and effectively resolving the market. This precise measurement, derived from standardized thermometers at the Observatory headquarters and key stations, aligns with early May climatological norms where maximums typically range 27–30°C amid transitioning monsoon influences, but cloudy conditions and intermittent showers that day capped warming. While forecast models from prior days hinted at similar moderation due to southerly airflow, the verified data eliminates uncertainty; only an unprecedented audit revealing instrument malfunction could challenge it, a scenario without historical precedent in HKO records.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 9?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 9?
26°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$653,114 Vol.
$653,114 Vol.
9. Mai 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$653,114 Vol.
$653,114 Vol.
9. Mai 2026
17°C or below
$12,359 Vol.
No
18°C
$3,612 Vol.
No
19°C
$1,658 Vol.
No
20°C
$11,870 Vol.
No
21°C
$7,626 Vol.
No
22°C
$19,989 Vol.
No
23°C
$65,422 Vol.
No
24°C
$138,689 Vol.
No
25°C
$225,024 Vol.
No
26°C
$94,431 Vol.
Yes
27°C or higher
$72,433 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's official meteorological observations confirm the highest air temperature on May 9, 2026, reached exactly 26°C, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome and effectively resolving the market. This precise measurement, derived from standardized thermometers at the Observatory headquarters and key stations, aligns with early May climatological norms where maximums typically range 27–30°C amid transitioning monsoon influences, but cloudy conditions and intermittent showers that day capped warming. While forecast models from prior days hinted at similar moderation due to southerly airflow, the verified data eliminates uncertainty; only an unprecedented audit revealing instrument malfunction could challenge it, a scenario without historical precedent in HKO records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 7, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volumen
$653,114Enddatum
9. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 7, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's official meteorological observations confirm the highest air temperature on May 9, 2026, reached exactly 26°C, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome and effectively resolving the market. This precise measurement, derived from standardized thermometers at the Observatory headquarters and key stations, aligns with early May climatological norms where maximums typically range 27–30°C amid transitioning monsoon influences, but cloudy conditions and intermittent showers that day capped warming. While forecast models from prior days hinted at similar moderation due to southerly airflow, the verified data eliminates uncertainty; only an unprecedented audit revealing instrument malfunction could challenge it, a scenario without historical precedent in HKO records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$653,114Enddatum
9. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 7, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Hong Kong Observatory's official meteorological observations confirm the highest air temperature on May 9, 2026, reached exactly 26°C, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome and effectively resolving the market. This precise measurement, derived from standardized thermometers at the Observatory headquarters and key stations, aligns with early May climatological norms where maximums typically range 27–30°C amid transitioning monsoon influences, but cloudy conditions and intermittent showers that day capped warming. While forecast models from prior days hinted at similar moderation due to southerly airflow, the verified data eliminates uncertainty; only an unprecedented audit revealing instrument malfunction could challenge it, a scenario without historical precedent in HKO records.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen