Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 82-83°F (32.5%) and 84-85°F (31.0%) for Houston's highest temperature at William P. Hobby Airport on April 17, driven by National Weather Service guidance forecasting a mostly sunny Thursday high near 86°F under a high-pressure ridge and south winds of 5-15 mph advecting warm, moist Gulf air. However, uncertainty arises from model spread in recent discussions, with some guidance noting 20-65% chances of isolated showers or diurnal cumulus clouds that could cap peak heating below 85°F by reflecting sunlight and limiting surface warming. Overnight lows near 71°F provide ample recovery time, but any morning cloudiness or subtle frontal remnants may differentiate outcomes; watch evening model updates from NOAA for refined guidance. Historical April highs average 78°F, making this warm bias notable amid low rain risk.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Houston on April 17?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 17?
84-85°F 44%
82-83°F 35%
80-81°F 16%
86-87°F 11%
$12,623 Vol.
$12,623 Vol.
79°F or below
5%
80-81°F
16%
82-83°F
35%
84-85°F
40%
86-87°F
11%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 44%
82-83°F 35%
80-81°F 16%
86-87°F 11%
$12,623 Vol.
$12,623 Vol.
79°F or below
5%
80-81°F
16%
82-83°F
35%
84-85°F
40%
86-87°F
11%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 82-83°F (32.5%) and 84-85°F (31.0%) for Houston's highest temperature at William P. Hobby Airport on April 17, driven by National Weather Service guidance forecasting a mostly sunny Thursday high near 86°F under a high-pressure ridge and south winds of 5-15 mph advecting warm, moist Gulf air. However, uncertainty arises from model spread in recent discussions, with some guidance noting 20-65% chances of isolated showers or diurnal cumulus clouds that could cap peak heating below 85°F by reflecting sunlight and limiting surface warming. Overnight lows near 71°F provide ample recovery time, but any morning cloudiness or subtle frontal remnants may differentiate outcomes; watch evening model updates from NOAA for refined guidance. Historical April highs average 78°F, making this warm bias notable amid low rain risk.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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