Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in at 100% implied probability for a Houston high temperature of 70-71°F on April 20, backed by preliminary observations from the resolving station, William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU) via Weather Underground, confirming the peak reached within that range under overcast skies and lingering cool air mass. National Weather Service data aligns, with late-afternoon readings around 64-66°F at nearby Intercontinental Airport (KIAH) and NOAA's citywide average of 70.3°F—5.3°F above the 1991-2020 mean but far below typical April highs near 79°F—reflecting post-frontal northerly flow and cloud-induced suppression of daytime heating. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions from automated sensors, though final certified reports expected soon reinforce the positioning.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Houston on April 20?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 20?
70-71°F 100.0%
65°F oder weniger <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$126,024 Vol.
$126,024 Vol.
20. Apr. 2026
65°F oder weniger
Nein
66-67°F
Nein
68-69°F
Nein
70-71°F
Ja
72-73°F
Nein
74-75°F
Nein
76-77°F
Nein
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84°F or higher
No
70-71°F 100.0%
65°F oder weniger <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$126,024 Vol.
$126,024 Vol.
20. Apr. 2026
65°F oder weniger
$4,875 Vol.
Nein
66-67°F
$8,087 Vol.
Nein
68-69°F
$44,111 Vol.
Nein
70-71°F
$19,163 Vol.
Ja
72-73°F
$11,476 Vol.
Nein
74-75°F
$12,521 Vol.
Nein
76-77°F
$10,927 Vol.
Nein
78-79°F
$4,233 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$3,402 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$4,125 Vol.
No
84°F or higher
$3,103 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in at 100% implied probability for a Houston high temperature of 70-71°F on April 20, backed by preliminary observations from the resolving station, William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU) via Weather Underground, confirming the peak reached within that range under overcast skies and lingering cool air mass. National Weather Service data aligns, with late-afternoon readings around 64-66°F at nearby Intercontinental Airport (KIAH) and NOAA's citywide average of 70.3°F—5.3°F above the 1991-2020 mean but far below typical April highs near 79°F—reflecting post-frontal northerly flow and cloud-induced suppression of daytime heating. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions from automated sensors, though final certified reports expected soon reinforce the positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 18, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Volumen
$126,024Enddatum
20. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 18, 2026, 12:10 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in at 100% implied probability for a Houston high temperature of 70-71°F on April 20, backed by preliminary observations from the resolving station, William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU) via Weather Underground, confirming the peak reached within that range under overcast skies and lingering cool air mass. National Weather Service data aligns, with late-afternoon readings around 64-66°F at nearby Intercontinental Airport (KIAH) and NOAA's citywide average of 70.3°F—5.3°F above the 1991-2020 mean but far below typical April highs near 79°F—reflecting post-frontal northerly flow and cloud-induced suppression of daytime heating. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions from automated sensors, though final certified reports expected soon reinforce the positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$126,024Enddatum
20. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 18, 2026, 12:10 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in at 100% implied probability for a Houston high temperature of 70-71°F on April 20, backed by preliminary observations from the resolving station, William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU) via Weather Underground, confirming the peak reached within that range under overcast skies and lingering cool air mass. National Weather Service data aligns, with late-afternoon readings around 64-66°F at nearby Intercontinental Airport (KIAH) and NOAA's citywide average of 70.3°F—5.3°F above the 1991-2020 mean but far below typical April highs near 79°F—reflecting post-frontal northerly flow and cloud-induced suppression of daytime heating. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions from automated sensors, though final certified reports expected soon reinforce the positioning.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen