The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Houston's William P. Hobby Airport projects a high temperature of 86–90°F today, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for 82°F or higher, backed by model agreement on a persistent upper-level ridge fostering sunny skies, light south-southeasterly winds, and ample daytime heating. Current observations already show mid-afternoon readings near 87°F under partly cloudy conditions, aligning with seasonal norms but elevated by the warming trend across Southeast Texas. Realistic challenges to this outcome—such as unexpected marine layer development or enhanced sea breeze cooling—remain improbable given the forecast stability, with final resolution hinging on official airport measurements by midnight.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Houston on April 25?
82°F or higher 100.0%
63°F or below <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$91,290 Vol.
$91,290 Vol.
63°F or below
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82°F or higher
Yes
82°F or higher 100.0%
63°F or below <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$91,290 Vol.
$91,290 Vol.
63°F or below
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82°F or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 23, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Houston's William P. Hobby Airport projects a high temperature of 86–90°F today, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for 82°F or higher, backed by model agreement on a persistent upper-level ridge fostering sunny skies, light south-southeasterly winds, and ample daytime heating. Current observations already show mid-afternoon readings near 87°F under partly cloudy conditions, aligning with seasonal norms but elevated by the warming trend across Southeast Texas. Realistic challenges to this outcome—such as unexpected marine layer development or enhanced sea breeze cooling—remain improbable given the forecast stability, with final resolution hinging on official airport measurements by midnight.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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