Recent National Weather Service normals and extended-range guidance place Houston's typical mid-July daily maximum near 95°F under the influence of a persistent subtropical ridge favoring clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating. AccuWeather's July 2026 outlook shows highs consistently between 94–97°F through the period, with no strong frontal passages or tropical moisture surges expected to alter the pattern before July 19. Model consensus from recent runs maintains this narrow band, reflecting typical climatological stability for the date and the absence of significant short-term variability in steering flow or moisture. Trader emphasis on the 94–95°F bin therefore tracks both the official normal and the most probable outcome window, while the modest probabilities attached to 96–97°F capture the chance of slightly enhanced subsidence or clearer conditions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Houston am 19. Juli?
94-95°F 100.0%
83°F oder niedriger <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$27,233 Vol.
$27,233 Vol.
83°F oder niedriger
Nein
84-85°F
Nein
86-87°F
Nein
88-89°F
Nein
90–91°F
Nein
92-93°F
Nein
94-95°F
Ja
96-97°F
Nein
98-99°F
Nein
100-101°F
Nein
102°F oder höher
Nein
94-95°F 100.0%
83°F oder niedriger <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$27,233 Vol.
$27,233 Vol.
83°F oder niedriger
Nein
84-85°F
Nein
86-87°F
Nein
88-89°F
Nein
90–91°F
Nein
92-93°F
Nein
94-95°F
Ja
96-97°F
Nein
98-99°F
Nein
100-101°F
Nein
102°F oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 17, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Recent National Weather Service normals and extended-range guidance place Houston's typical mid-July daily maximum near 95°F under the influence of a persistent subtropical ridge favoring clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating. AccuWeather's July 2026 outlook shows highs consistently between 94–97°F through the period, with no strong frontal passages or tropical moisture surges expected to alter the pattern before July 19. Model consensus from recent runs maintains this narrow band, reflecting typical climatological stability for the date and the absence of significant short-term variability in steering flow or moisture. Trader emphasis on the 94–95°F bin therefore tracks both the official normal and the most probable outcome window, while the modest probabilities attached to 96–97°F capture the chance of slightly enhanced subsidence or clearer conditions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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