Forecast models from the National Weather Service and NOAA indicate persistent high pressure and a heat dome favoring daytime highs near or slightly above the 94°F July 7 climatological normal for Houston, with limited cloud cover or sea-breeze effects likely keeping peaks in the low-to-mid 90s. Recent runs show tight clustering around 91–95°F, though small differences in boundary-layer moisture or afternoon convection introduce spread that traders price across multiple bins. Historical analogs from similar synoptic patterns confirm low odds of extremes below 88°F or above 98°F this time of year, aligning with the market’s dispersed probabilities and emphasis on near-term model updates for resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Houston am 7. Juli?
Höchste Temperatur in Houston am 7. Juli?
92-93°F 100.0%
79°F oder darunter <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$65,324 Vol.
$65,324 Vol.
7. Juli 2026
79°F oder darunter
Nein
80-81°F
Nein
82-83°F
Nein
84-85°F
Nein
30-31°C
Nein
88–89°F
Nein
32-33 °C
Nein
92-93°F
Ja
94-95°F
Nein
96-97°F
Nein
98°F oder mehr
Nein
92-93°F 100.0%
79°F oder darunter <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$65,324 Vol.
$65,324 Vol.
7. Juli 2026
79°F oder darunter
$780 Vol.
Nein
80-81°F
$2,590 Vol.
Nein
82-83°F
$2,304 Vol.
Nein
84-85°F
$3,047 Vol.
Nein
30-31°C
$4,615 Vol.
Nein
88–89°F
$4,772 Vol.
Nein
32-33 °C
$12,043 Vol.
Nein
92-93°F
$10,988 Vol.
Ja
94-95°F
$7,836 Vol.
Nein
96-97°F
$8,596 Vol.
Nein
98°F oder mehr
$7,754 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and NOAA indicate persistent high pressure and a heat dome favoring daytime highs near or slightly above the 94°F July 7 climatological normal for Houston, with limited cloud cover or sea-breeze effects likely keeping peaks in the low-to-mid 90s. Recent runs show tight clustering around 91–95°F, though small differences in boundary-layer moisture or afternoon convection introduce spread that traders price across multiple bins. Historical analogs from similar synoptic patterns confirm low odds of extremes below 88°F or above 98°F this time of year, aligning with the market’s dispersed probabilities and emphasis on near-term model updates for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volumen
$65,324Enddatum
7. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and NOAA indicate persistent high pressure and a heat dome favoring daytime highs near or slightly above the 94°F July 7 climatological normal for Houston, with limited cloud cover or sea-breeze effects likely keeping peaks in the low-to-mid 90s. Recent runs show tight clustering around 91–95°F, though small differences in boundary-layer moisture or afternoon convection introduce spread that traders price across multiple bins. Historical analogs from similar synoptic patterns confirm low odds of extremes below 88°F or above 98°F this time of year, aligning with the market’s dispersed probabilities and emphasis on near-term model updates for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$65,324Enddatum
7. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Forecast models from the National Weather Service and NOAA indicate persistent high pressure and a heat dome favoring daytime highs near or slightly above the 94°F July 7 climatological normal for Houston, with limited cloud cover or sea-breeze effects likely keeping peaks in the low-to-mid 90s. Recent runs show tight clustering around 91–95°F, though small differences in boundary-layer moisture or afternoon convection introduce spread that traders price across multiple bins. Historical analogs from similar synoptic patterns confirm low odds of extremes below 88°F or above 98°F this time of year, aligning with the market’s dispersed probabilities and emphasis on near-term model updates for resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen