Official observations from National Weather Service stations, including William P. Hobby Airport, recorded a daily maximum of 90–91°F in Houston on June 14, aligning precisely with the market's near-certain outcome. This falls within the climatological normal high of 92°F for mid-June and reflects typical early-summer atmospheric conditions—warm Gulf moisture, moderate southerly flow, and limited cloud cover—without the stronger ridging or downslope warming that would push readings to 100°F or above. Recent model guidance and surface analyses showed no significant heat advection or clear-sky intensification capable of exceeding 95°F, keeping extreme outcomes below 1% implied probability. Resolution hinges on the verified NWS climatological report, with any post-event data revisions representing the only realistic uncertainty.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Houston am 14. Juni?
90-91°F 100.0%
27 °C oder weniger <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$52,766 Vol.
$52,766 Vol.
27 °C oder weniger
Nein
82-83°F
Nein
84-85°F
Nein
86-87°F
Nein
88-89°F
Nein
90-91°F
Ja
92-93°F
Nein
94-95°F
Nein
96-97°F
Nein
98-99°F
Nein
100°F oder höher
Nein
90-91°F 100.0%
27 °C oder weniger <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$52,766 Vol.
$52,766 Vol.
27 °C oder weniger
Nein
82-83°F
Nein
84-85°F
Nein
86-87°F
Nein
88-89°F
Nein
90-91°F
Ja
92-93°F
Nein
94-95°F
Nein
96-97°F
Nein
98-99°F
Nein
100°F oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 12, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Official observations from National Weather Service stations, including William P. Hobby Airport, recorded a daily maximum of 90–91°F in Houston on June 14, aligning precisely with the market's near-certain outcome. This falls within the climatological normal high of 92°F for mid-June and reflects typical early-summer atmospheric conditions—warm Gulf moisture, moderate southerly flow, and limited cloud cover—without the stronger ridging or downslope warming that would push readings to 100°F or above. Recent model guidance and surface analyses showed no significant heat advection or clear-sky intensification capable of exceeding 95°F, keeping extreme outcomes below 1% implied probability. Resolution hinges on the verified NWS climatological report, with any post-event data revisions representing the only realistic uncertainty.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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