Recent forecast guidance from sources including timeanddate and BBC indicates Istanbul highs near 31°C on August 4 under sunny conditions with moderate northerly winds, consistent with the seasonal peak of the warmest month when average daily maxima reach 28–30°C. Historical climatology from Weatherspark and similar datasets places early-August norms around 29°C, with occasional spikes above 32°C possible but rare. Model consensus and limited day-to-day variability this close to the event support the market’s heavy weighting toward 28–29°C outcomes, while the modest probability assigned to 30°C or higher reflects remaining uncertainty in precise maximum readings at official stations and potential for minor forecast adjustments.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Istanbul am 4. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Istanbul am 4. August?
28°C 47%
29°C 37%
30°C 14%
27°C 5%
NEU
NEU
4. Aug. 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
5%
28°C
47%
29°C
37%
30°C
14%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
2%
28°C 47%
29°C 37%
30°C 14%
27°C 5%
NEU
NEU
4. Aug. 2026
24°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$31 Vol.
1%
26°C
$16 Vol.
3%
27°C
$26 Vol.
5%
28°C
$77 Vol.
47%
29°C
$5 Vol.
37%
30°C
$28 Vol.
14%
31°C
$6 Vol.
2%
32°C
$0 Vol.
2%
33°C
$30 Vol.
2%
34°C or higher
$10 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from sources including timeanddate and BBC indicates Istanbul highs near 31°C on August 4 under sunny conditions with moderate northerly winds, consistent with the seasonal peak of the warmest month when average daily maxima reach 28–30°C. Historical climatology from Weatherspark and similar datasets places early-August norms around 29°C, with occasional spikes above 32°C possible but rare. Model consensus and limited day-to-day variability this close to the event support the market’s heavy weighting toward 28–29°C outcomes, while the modest probability assigned to 30°C or higher reflects remaining uncertainty in precise maximum readings at official stations and potential for minor forecast adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$229Enddatum
4. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from sources including timeanddate and BBC indicates Istanbul highs near 31°C on August 4 under sunny conditions with moderate northerly winds, consistent with the seasonal peak of the warmest month when average daily maxima reach 28–30°C. Historical climatology from Weatherspark and similar datasets places early-August norms around 29°C, with occasional spikes above 32°C possible but rare. Model consensus and limited day-to-day variability this close to the event support the market’s heavy weighting toward 28–29°C outcomes, while the modest probability assigned to 30°C or higher reflects remaining uncertainty in precise maximum readings at official stations and potential for minor forecast adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$229Enddatum
4. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from sources including timeanddate and BBC indicates Istanbul highs near 31°C on August 4 under sunny conditions with moderate northerly winds, consistent with the seasonal peak of the warmest month when average daily maxima reach 28–30°C. Historical climatology from Weatherspark and similar datasets places early-August norms around 29°C, with occasional spikes above 32°C possible but rare. Model consensus and limited day-to-day variability this close to the event support the market’s heavy weighting toward 28–29°C outcomes, while the modest probability assigned to 30°C or higher reflects remaining uncertainty in precise maximum readings at official stations and potential for minor forecast adjustments.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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