Recent ensemble forecasts from global models position 27–29°C as the most probable range for Istanbul’s July 16 daily maximum, reflecting a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge with modest northerly flow limiting extreme heat. Current conditions show partly cloudy skies and daytime highs near 29–30°C, consistent with mid-July climatology where average maxima reach 28–30°C. Model consensus shows low spread through the 48-hour window, though minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any diurnal peak could adjust the recorded high by 1–2°C. Traders are weighting these near-term dynamical outputs heavily given the short forecast horizon and official verification from Turkish meteorological stations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Istanbul am 16. Juli?
Höchste Temperatur in Istanbul am 16. Juli?
28°C 100.0%
22°C oder darunter <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$42,732 Vol.
$42,732 Vol.
16. Juli 2026
22°C oder darunter
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C
Ja
29°C
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C
Nein
32°C oder höher
Nein
28°C 100.0%
22°C oder darunter <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$42,732 Vol.
$42,732 Vol.
16. Juli 2026
22°C oder darunter
$669 Vol.
Nein
23°C
$630 Vol.
Nein
24°C
$1,444 Vol.
Nein
25°C
$2,401 Vol.
Nein
26°C
$5,841 Vol.
Nein
27°C
$9,632 Vol.
Nein
28°C
$10,930 Vol.
Ja
29°C
$5,208 Vol.
Nein
30°C
$3,226 Vol.
Nein
31°C
$1,943 Vol.
Nein
32°C oder höher
$808 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models position 27–29°C as the most probable range for Istanbul’s July 16 daily maximum, reflecting a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge with modest northerly flow limiting extreme heat. Current conditions show partly cloudy skies and daytime highs near 29–30°C, consistent with mid-July climatology where average maxima reach 28–30°C. Model consensus shows low spread through the 48-hour window, though minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any diurnal peak could adjust the recorded high by 1–2°C. Traders are weighting these near-term dynamical outputs heavily given the short forecast horizon and official verification from Turkish meteorological stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$42,732Enddatum
16. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models position 27–29°C as the most probable range for Istanbul’s July 16 daily maximum, reflecting a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge with modest northerly flow limiting extreme heat. Current conditions show partly cloudy skies and daytime highs near 29–30°C, consistent with mid-July climatology where average maxima reach 28–30°C. Model consensus shows low spread through the 48-hour window, though minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any diurnal peak could adjust the recorded high by 1–2°C. Traders are weighting these near-term dynamical outputs heavily given the short forecast horizon and official verification from Turkish meteorological stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$42,732Enddatum
16. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Recent ensemble forecasts from global models position 27–29°C as the most probable range for Istanbul’s July 16 daily maximum, reflecting a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge with modest northerly flow limiting extreme heat. Current conditions show partly cloudy skies and daytime highs near 29–30°C, consistent with mid-July climatology where average maxima reach 28–30°C. Model consensus shows low spread through the 48-hour window, though minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any diurnal peak could adjust the recorded high by 1–2°C. Traders are weighting these near-term dynamical outputs heavily given the short forecast horizon and official verification from Turkish meteorological stations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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