Current short-range forecasts from major models place Istanbul’s July 6 maximum near 27–29 °C under a ridge of high pressure and moderate northerly flow across the Sea of Marmara. This pattern favors partly sunny skies with limited daytime heating and no significant warm advection, keeping values close to early-July climatology. Ensemble spread and local sea-breeze timing create the tight market clustering around 26 °C and 27 °C; a modest eastward shift in the surface high or stronger southerly component could add 1–2 °C, while stronger northerlies or increased cloud cover would cap the peak nearer 26 °C. Updated 00Z and 12Z model runs plus any revised NHC or Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance will be the next key catalysts before the 24-hour observation window closes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Istanbul am 6. Juli?
Höchste Temperatur in Istanbul am 6. Juli?
27°C 100.0%
22°C oder weniger <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$71,635 Vol.
$71,635 Vol.
6. Juli 2026
22°C oder weniger
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Ja
28°C
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C
Nein
32°C oder höher
Nein
27°C 100.0%
22°C oder weniger <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$71,635 Vol.
$71,635 Vol.
6. Juli 2026
22°C oder weniger
$2,952 Vol.
Nein
23°C
$3,302 Vol.
Nein
24°C
$3,907 Vol.
Nein
25°C
$4,920 Vol.
Nein
26°C
$18,807 Vol.
Nein
27°C
$15,462 Vol.
Ja
28°C
$5,411 Vol.
Nein
29°C
$4,459 Vol.
Nein
30°C
$4,398 Vol.
Nein
31°C
$4,252 Vol.
Nein
32°C oder höher
$3,765 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from major models place Istanbul’s July 6 maximum near 27–29 °C under a ridge of high pressure and moderate northerly flow across the Sea of Marmara. This pattern favors partly sunny skies with limited daytime heating and no significant warm advection, keeping values close to early-July climatology. Ensemble spread and local sea-breeze timing create the tight market clustering around 26 °C and 27 °C; a modest eastward shift in the surface high or stronger southerly component could add 1–2 °C, while stronger northerlies or increased cloud cover would cap the peak nearer 26 °C. Updated 00Z and 12Z model runs plus any revised NHC or Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance will be the next key catalysts before the 24-hour observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volumen
$71,635Enddatum
6. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from major models place Istanbul’s July 6 maximum near 27–29 °C under a ridge of high pressure and moderate northerly flow across the Sea of Marmara. This pattern favors partly sunny skies with limited daytime heating and no significant warm advection, keeping values close to early-July climatology. Ensemble spread and local sea-breeze timing create the tight market clustering around 26 °C and 27 °C; a modest eastward shift in the surface high or stronger southerly component could add 1–2 °C, while stronger northerlies or increased cloud cover would cap the peak nearer 26 °C. Updated 00Z and 12Z model runs plus any revised NHC or Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance will be the next key catalysts before the 24-hour observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$71,635Enddatum
6. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Current short-range forecasts from major models place Istanbul’s July 6 maximum near 27–29 °C under a ridge of high pressure and moderate northerly flow across the Sea of Marmara. This pattern favors partly sunny skies with limited daytime heating and no significant warm advection, keeping values close to early-July climatology. Ensemble spread and local sea-breeze timing create the tight market clustering around 26 °C and 27 °C; a modest eastward shift in the surface high or stronger southerly component could add 1–2 °C, while stronger northerlies or increased cloud cover would cap the peak nearer 26 °C. Updated 00Z and 12Z model runs plus any revised NHC or Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance will be the next key catalysts before the 24-hour observation window closes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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