Current forecasts for Jeddah on July 4 center on a maximum near 37–38 °C under sunny conditions with moderate northwesterly flow, aligning with the tightly bunched market probabilities around those levels. The spread across 37 °C, 38 °C, and 39 °C+ reflects typical ensemble-model dispersion for coastal Red Sea sites, where sea-breeze timing, boundary-layer moisture, and subtle shifts in the subtropical ridge can alter peak readings by 1–2 °C. Historical July climatology shows daily highs averaging 37 °C with occasional excursions above 40 °C when regional subsidence strengthens; recent model runs and satellite observations indicate stable high pressure without strong thermal anomalies, keeping the 39 °C threshold plausible but not favored. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and next model cycles will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Jeddah on July 4?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on July 4?
36°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$59,618 Vol.
$59,618 Vol.
4. Juli 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$59,618 Vol.
$59,618 Vol.
4. Juli 2026
29°C or below
$2,762 Vol.
No
30°C
$2,765 Vol.
No
31°C
$3,971 Vol.
No
32°C
$2,950 Vol.
No
33°C
$2,297 Vol.
No
34°C
$6,003 Vol.
No
35°C
$4,584 Vol.
No
36°C
$10,158 Vol.
Yes
37°C
$4,122 Vol.
No
38°C
$5,301 Vol.
No
39°C or higher
$14,705 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Jeddah on July 4 center on a maximum near 37–38 °C under sunny conditions with moderate northwesterly flow, aligning with the tightly bunched market probabilities around those levels. The spread across 37 °C, 38 °C, and 39 °C+ reflects typical ensemble-model dispersion for coastal Red Sea sites, where sea-breeze timing, boundary-layer moisture, and subtle shifts in the subtropical ridge can alter peak readings by 1–2 °C. Historical July climatology shows daily highs averaging 37 °C with occasional excursions above 40 °C when regional subsidence strengthens; recent model runs and satellite observations indicate stable high pressure without strong thermal anomalies, keeping the 39 °C threshold plausible but not favored. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and next model cycles will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 2, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volumen
$59,618Enddatum
4. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 2, 2026, 1:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Jeddah on July 4 center on a maximum near 37–38 °C under sunny conditions with moderate northwesterly flow, aligning with the tightly bunched market probabilities around those levels. The spread across 37 °C, 38 °C, and 39 °C+ reflects typical ensemble-model dispersion for coastal Red Sea sites, where sea-breeze timing, boundary-layer moisture, and subtle shifts in the subtropical ridge can alter peak readings by 1–2 °C. Historical July climatology shows daily highs averaging 37 °C with occasional excursions above 40 °C when regional subsidence strengthens; recent model runs and satellite observations indicate stable high pressure without strong thermal anomalies, keeping the 39 °C threshold plausible but not favored. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and next model cycles will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$59,618Enddatum
4. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 2, 2026, 1:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Current forecasts for Jeddah on July 4 center on a maximum near 37–38 °C under sunny conditions with moderate northwesterly flow, aligning with the tightly bunched market probabilities around those levels. The spread across 37 °C, 38 °C, and 39 °C+ reflects typical ensemble-model dispersion for coastal Red Sea sites, where sea-breeze timing, boundary-layer moisture, and subtle shifts in the subtropical ridge can alter peak readings by 1–2 °C. Historical July climatology shows daily highs averaging 37 °C with occasional excursions above 40 °C when regional subsidence strengthens; recent model runs and satellite observations indicate stable high pressure without strong thermal anomalies, keeping the 39 °C threshold plausible but not favored. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and next model cycles will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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