Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM), as archived by Weather Underground—the market's designated resolution source—confirm Lagos's highest temperature on May 8 reached exactly 29°C, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability. This outcome aligns with the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet)'s daily bulletin forecasting isolated thunderstorms and moderate rainfall across southern Nigeria, including Lagos, which boosted cloud cover, high humidity, and gusty winds to suppress peak heating below the May climatological average of 31.5°C during the wet season onset. Realistic challenges would require a rare revision to the airport's METAR records or NiMet-validated correction from an alternative official station, though such discrepancies are exceedingly uncommon post-verification. Traders await no further updates, as the event has resolved.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Lagos on May 8?
Highest temperature in Lagos on May 8?
29°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
30°C <1%
$122,208 Vol.
$122,208 Vol.
8. Mai 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
30°C <1%
$122,208 Vol.
$122,208 Vol.
8. Mai 2026
27°C or below
$8,272 Vol.
No
28°C
$51,693 Vol.
No
29°C
$12,535 Vol.
Yes
30°C
$6,481 Vol.
No
31°C
$13,113 Vol.
No
32°C
$6,100 Vol.
No
33°C
$4,603 Vol.
No
34°C
$3,432 Vol.
No
35°C
$6,992 Vol.
No
36°C
$2,492 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$6,494 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM), as archived by Weather Underground—the market's designated resolution source—confirm Lagos's highest temperature on May 8 reached exactly 29°C, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability. This outcome aligns with the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet)'s daily bulletin forecasting isolated thunderstorms and moderate rainfall across southern Nigeria, including Lagos, which boosted cloud cover, high humidity, and gusty winds to suppress peak heating below the May climatological average of 31.5°C during the wet season onset. Realistic challenges would require a rare revision to the airport's METAR records or NiMet-validated correction from an alternative official station, though such discrepancies are exceedingly uncommon post-verification. Traders await no further updates, as the event has resolved.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 6, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Volumen
$122,208Enddatum
8. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 6, 2026, 12:16 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM), as archived by Weather Underground—the market's designated resolution source—confirm Lagos's highest temperature on May 8 reached exactly 29°C, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability. This outcome aligns with the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet)'s daily bulletin forecasting isolated thunderstorms and moderate rainfall across southern Nigeria, including Lagos, which boosted cloud cover, high humidity, and gusty winds to suppress peak heating below the May climatological average of 31.5°C during the wet season onset. Realistic challenges would require a rare revision to the airport's METAR records or NiMet-validated correction from an alternative official station, though such discrepancies are exceedingly uncommon post-verification. Traders await no further updates, as the event has resolved.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$122,208Enddatum
8. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 6, 2026, 12:16 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM), as archived by Weather Underground—the market's designated resolution source—confirm Lagos's highest temperature on May 8 reached exactly 29°C, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability. This outcome aligns with the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet)'s daily bulletin forecasting isolated thunderstorms and moderate rainfall across southern Nigeria, including Lagos, which boosted cloud cover, high humidity, and gusty winds to suppress peak heating below the May climatological average of 31.5°C during the wet season onset. Realistic challenges would require a rare revision to the airport's METAR records or NiMet-validated correction from an alternative official station, though such discrepancies are exceedingly uncommon post-verification. Traders await no further updates, as the event has resolved.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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