Met Office observations from London City Airport and Heathrow Airport—the key stations for this market—confirm the highest temperature on April 19 reached exactly 15°C amid persistent low cloud cover and cool northerly winds that suppressed daytime heating. This aligns with trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability, reflecting verified hourly data rather than forecasts, following a sharp cooldown from early April's record 26.6°C peak on the 9th under high pressure. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post hoc data revisions from official sources, such as equipment recalibrations, though such adjustments are exceedingly uncommon for settled daily maxima. No further updates expected as the market nears resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in London am 19. April?
15°C 100.0%
9°C oder weniger <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$260,699 Vol.
$260,699 Vol.
9°C oder weniger
Nein
10°C
Nein
11°C
Nein
12°C
Nein
13°C
Nein
14°C
Nein
15°C
Ja
16°C
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C oder höher
Nein
15°C 100.0%
9°C oder weniger <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$260,699 Vol.
$260,699 Vol.
9°C oder weniger
Nein
10°C
Nein
11°C
Nein
12°C
Nein
13°C
Nein
14°C
Nein
15°C
Ja
16°C
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Met Office observations from London City Airport and Heathrow Airport—the key stations for this market—confirm the highest temperature on April 19 reached exactly 15°C amid persistent low cloud cover and cool northerly winds that suppressed daytime heating. This aligns with trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability, reflecting verified hourly data rather than forecasts, following a sharp cooldown from early April's record 26.6°C peak on the 9th under high pressure. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post hoc data revisions from official sources, such as equipment recalibrations, though such adjustments are exceedingly uncommon for settled daily maxima. No further updates expected as the market nears resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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