Traders assign near-certainty to a June 3 high of 41 °C or below in Lucknow because official India Meteorological Department observations and forecasts show a maximum of 38.8 °C, about 1.4 °C below normal, with afternoon readings expected to peak near 39–40 °C under partly cloudy skies and a chance of light drizzle. Early-June climatology places average daily highs around 38–39 °C, and current steering patterns plus modest moisture keep intensification unlikely. The market-implied odds therefore align with the latest model consensus and real-time measurements rather than any historical extreme. Only a sharp, unforecasted shift in the steering flow or rapid clearing that allows stronger insolation could push readings above 41 °C before sunset.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Lucknow on June 3?
41°C or below 100.0%
42°C <1%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
$14,368 Vol.
$14,368 Vol.
41°C or below
Yes
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C
No
47°C
No
48°C
No
49°C
No
50°C
No
51°C or higher
No
41°C or below 100.0%
42°C <1%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
$14,368 Vol.
$14,368 Vol.
41°C or below
Yes
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C
No
47°C
No
48°C
No
49°C
No
50°C
No
51°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 1, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes
Traders assign near-certainty to a June 3 high of 41 °C or below in Lucknow because official India Meteorological Department observations and forecasts show a maximum of 38.8 °C, about 1.4 °C below normal, with afternoon readings expected to peak near 39–40 °C under partly cloudy skies and a chance of light drizzle. Early-June climatology places average daily highs around 38–39 °C, and current steering patterns plus modest moisture keep intensification unlikely. The market-implied odds therefore align with the latest model consensus and real-time measurements rather than any historical extreme. Only a sharp, unforecasted shift in the steering flow or rapid clearing that allows stronger insolation could push readings above 41 °C before sunset.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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