Latest GFS-based forecasts and European model consensus indicate Madrid will see clear skies, light easterly to southeasterly winds, and strong daytime heating on September 12, supporting an afternoon high near 31–32 °C. This aligns with the market’s leading probabilities for those exact outcomes, as recent September warmth has kept surface temperatures several degrees above the 27.3 °C climatological average while stable high pressure suppresses cloud cover and precipitation. Model runs show minimal spread in peak values, with only modest uncertainty from boundary-layer mixing or slight wind shifts that could trim or add 1 °C. Official observations from Madrid stations will determine the precise maximum, with final data expected shortly after sunset on the 12th.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Madrid am 12. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Madrid am 12. September?
32°C 52%
31°C 34%
33°C 11%
30°C 3%
NEU
NEU
12. Sep. 2026
27°C oder weniger
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
3%
31°C
34%
32°C
52%
33°C
11%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C oder höher
<1%
32°C 52%
31°C 34%
33°C 11%
30°C 3%
NEU
NEU
12. Sep. 2026
27°C oder weniger
$15 Vol.
1%
28°C
$39 Vol.
1%
29°C
$42 Vol.
3%
30°C
$62 Vol.
3%
31°C
$191 Vol.
34%
32°C
$1,311 Vol.
52%
33°C
$93 Vol.
11%
34°C
$15 Vol.
3%
35°C
$6 Vol.
1%
36°C
$15 Vol.
1%
37°C oder höher
$40 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest GFS-based forecasts and European model consensus indicate Madrid will see clear skies, light easterly to southeasterly winds, and strong daytime heating on September 12, supporting an afternoon high near 31–32 °C. This aligns with the market’s leading probabilities for those exact outcomes, as recent September warmth has kept surface temperatures several degrees above the 27.3 °C climatological average while stable high pressure suppresses cloud cover and precipitation. Model runs show minimal spread in peak values, with only modest uncertainty from boundary-layer mixing or slight wind shifts that could trim or add 1 °C. Official observations from Madrid stations will determine the precise maximum, with final data expected shortly after sunset on the 12th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$1,830Enddatum
12. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest GFS-based forecasts and European model consensus indicate Madrid will see clear skies, light easterly to southeasterly winds, and strong daytime heating on September 12, supporting an afternoon high near 31–32 °C. This aligns with the market’s leading probabilities for those exact outcomes, as recent September warmth has kept surface temperatures several degrees above the 27.3 °C climatological average while stable high pressure suppresses cloud cover and precipitation. Model runs show minimal spread in peak values, with only modest uncertainty from boundary-layer mixing or slight wind shifts that could trim or add 1 °C. Official observations from Madrid stations will determine the precise maximum, with final data expected shortly after sunset on the 12th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,830Enddatum
12. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Latest GFS-based forecasts and European model consensus indicate Madrid will see clear skies, light easterly to southeasterly winds, and strong daytime heating on September 12, supporting an afternoon high near 31–32 °C. This aligns with the market’s leading probabilities for those exact outcomes, as recent September warmth has kept surface temperatures several degrees above the 27.3 °C climatological average while stable high pressure suppresses cloud cover and precipitation. Model runs show minimal spread in peak values, with only modest uncertainty from boundary-layer mixing or slight wind shifts that could trim or add 1 °C. Official observations from Madrid stations will determine the precise maximum, with final data expected shortly after sunset on the 12th.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen