PAGASA's extended outlook forecasts a daytime high of 33°C for Metro Manila on April 16 under partly cloudy skies with minimal 0-20% rain chance, driving trader consensus toward outcomes near that threshold amid the dry season's peak. Recent observations at the Science Garden station in Quezon City—PAGASA's official Manila measurement site—logged 34.3°C on April 13, aligning with regional highs up to 37.9°C further north, yet urban heat island effects and easterly winds introduce variability. Differing private models like AccuWeather project 35-37°C, reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover and isolated thunderstorms that could suppress peaks below 32°C or allow clearer conditions to push toward 35°C+. Watch PAGASA's 5:00 AM/PM updates for refined guidance as resolution nears.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Manila on April 16?
Highest temperature in Manila on April 16?
33°C 31%
34°C 31%
35°C 27%
36°C 26%
29°C or below
9%
30°C
15%
31°C
24%
32°C
26%
33°C
31%
34°C
31%
35°C
27%
36°C
26%
37°C
26%
38°C
26%
39°C or higher
26%
33°C 31%
34°C 31%
35°C 27%
36°C 26%
29°C or below
9%
30°C
15%
31°C
24%
32°C
26%
33°C
31%
34°C
31%
35°C
27%
36°C
26%
37°C
26%
38°C
26%
39°C or higher
26%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 14, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA's extended outlook forecasts a daytime high of 33°C for Metro Manila on April 16 under partly cloudy skies with minimal 0-20% rain chance, driving trader consensus toward outcomes near that threshold amid the dry season's peak. Recent observations at the Science Garden station in Quezon City—PAGASA's official Manila measurement site—logged 34.3°C on April 13, aligning with regional highs up to 37.9°C further north, yet urban heat island effects and easterly winds introduce variability. Differing private models like AccuWeather project 35-37°C, reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover and isolated thunderstorms that could suppress peaks below 32°C or allow clearer conditions to push toward 35°C+. Watch PAGASA's 5:00 AM/PM updates for refined guidance as resolution nears.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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