Persistent southwest monsoon activity, with its associated cloud cover, thunderstorms, and moisture influx, represents the main driver keeping Manila's July 11 daytime maximum near or below seasonal norms. Official PAGASA outlooks currently indicate highs of 29–30°C amid frequent showers that limit solar heating, consistent with historical July averages around 31°C but tempered by active monsoon conditions. Key variables include the timing and intensity of convective rain, model spreads on cloud thickness, and any shifts in steering patterns that could allow brief clearing and higher peaks. The broad market distribution across 28–31°C underscores genuine forecast uncertainty, with resolution hinging on the official observed maximum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Manila am 11. Juli?
Höchste Temperatur in Manila am 11. Juli?
30°C 100.0%
24°C oder niedriger <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$82,339 Vol.
$82,339 Vol.
11. Juli 2026
24°C oder niedriger
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C
Ja
31°C
Nein
32°C
Nein
33°C
Nein
34°C oder höher
Nein
30°C 100.0%
24°C oder niedriger <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$82,339 Vol.
$82,339 Vol.
11. Juli 2026
24°C oder niedriger
$1,674 Vol.
Nein
25°C
$634 Vol.
Nein
26°C
$1,201 Vol.
Nein
27°C
$4,747 Vol.
Nein
28°C
$24,651 Vol.
Nein
29°C
$9,266 Vol.
Nein
30°C
$8,136 Vol.
Ja
31°C
$6,653 Vol.
Nein
32°C
$17,398 Vol.
Nein
33°C
$5,242 Vol.
Nein
34°C oder höher
$2,738 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity, with its associated cloud cover, thunderstorms, and moisture influx, represents the main driver keeping Manila's July 11 daytime maximum near or below seasonal norms. Official PAGASA outlooks currently indicate highs of 29–30°C amid frequent showers that limit solar heating, consistent with historical July averages around 31°C but tempered by active monsoon conditions. Key variables include the timing and intensity of convective rain, model spreads on cloud thickness, and any shifts in steering patterns that could allow brief clearing and higher peaks. The broad market distribution across 28–31°C underscores genuine forecast uncertainty, with resolution hinging on the official observed maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$82,339Enddatum
11. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity, with its associated cloud cover, thunderstorms, and moisture influx, represents the main driver keeping Manila's July 11 daytime maximum near or below seasonal norms. Official PAGASA outlooks currently indicate highs of 29–30°C amid frequent showers that limit solar heating, consistent with historical July averages around 31°C but tempered by active monsoon conditions. Key variables include the timing and intensity of convective rain, model spreads on cloud thickness, and any shifts in steering patterns that could allow brief clearing and higher peaks. The broad market distribution across 28–31°C underscores genuine forecast uncertainty, with resolution hinging on the official observed maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$82,339Enddatum
11. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Persistent southwest monsoon activity, with its associated cloud cover, thunderstorms, and moisture influx, represents the main driver keeping Manila's July 11 daytime maximum near or below seasonal norms. Official PAGASA outlooks currently indicate highs of 29–30°C amid frequent showers that limit solar heating, consistent with historical July averages around 31°C but tempered by active monsoon conditions. Key variables include the timing and intensity of convective rain, model spreads on cloud thickness, and any shifts in steering patterns that could allow brief clearing and higher peaks. The broad market distribution across 28–31°C underscores genuine forecast uncertainty, with resolution hinging on the official observed maximum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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