PAGASA's extended outlook for July 14, 2026, points to a 33°C high in Manila with a 40% rain chance, aligning with the market's near-tie between 32°C and 33°C outcomes. The southwest monsoon and intertropical convergence zone drive frequent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that cap daytime heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Typical July maxima hover near 31–32°C, but brief clearer intervals or shifts in steering flow could push peaks higher while stronger convection or increased humidity would suppress them. Traders weigh the latest model consensus on monsoon strength and timing against historical variability in this tropical regime.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Manila am 14. Juli?
Höchste Temperatur in Manila am 14. Juli?
32°C 100.0%
29°C oder darunter <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$33,361 Vol.
$33,361 Vol.
14. Juli 2026
29°C oder darunter
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C
Nein
32°C
Ja
33°C
Nein
34°C
Nein
35°C
Nein
36°C
Nein
37°C
Nein
38°C
Nein
39°C oder höher
Nein
32°C 100.0%
29°C oder darunter <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$33,361 Vol.
$33,361 Vol.
14. Juli 2026
29°C oder darunter
$1,009 Vol.
Nein
30°C
$3,279 Vol.
Nein
31°C
$7,793 Vol.
Nein
32°C
$8,004 Vol.
Ja
33°C
$3,920 Vol.
Nein
34°C
$3,007 Vol.
Nein
35°C
$3,568 Vol.
Nein
36°C
$2,137 Vol.
Nein
37°C
$291 Vol.
Nein
38°C
$143 Vol.
Nein
39°C oder höher
$210 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA's extended outlook for July 14, 2026, points to a 33°C high in Manila with a 40% rain chance, aligning with the market's near-tie between 32°C and 33°C outcomes. The southwest monsoon and intertropical convergence zone drive frequent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that cap daytime heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Typical July maxima hover near 31–32°C, but brief clearer intervals or shifts in steering flow could push peaks higher while stronger convection or increased humidity would suppress them. Traders weigh the latest model consensus on monsoon strength and timing against historical variability in this tropical regime.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 12, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Volumen
$33,361Enddatum
14. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 12, 2026, 1:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA's extended outlook for July 14, 2026, points to a 33°C high in Manila with a 40% rain chance, aligning with the market's near-tie between 32°C and 33°C outcomes. The southwest monsoon and intertropical convergence zone drive frequent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that cap daytime heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Typical July maxima hover near 31–32°C, but brief clearer intervals or shifts in steering flow could push peaks higher while stronger convection or increased humidity would suppress them. Traders weigh the latest model consensus on monsoon strength and timing against historical variability in this tropical regime.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$33,361Enddatum
14. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 12, 2026, 1:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
PAGASA's extended outlook for July 14, 2026, points to a 33°C high in Manila with a 40% rain chance, aligning with the market's near-tie between 32°C and 33°C outcomes. The southwest monsoon and intertropical convergence zone drive frequent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that cap daytime heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Typical July maxima hover near 31–32°C, but brief clearer intervals or shifts in steering flow could push peaks higher while stronger convection or increased humidity would suppress them. Traders weigh the latest model consensus on monsoon strength and timing against historical variability in this tropical regime.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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