Official National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recorded the highest temperature of 87°F at 2:53 p.m. local time on April 26, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 86-87°F outcome as markets approach resolution. This peak, captured via automated surface observing system (ASOS) 1-minute measurements, aligns with pre-event forecast model consensus from NOAA ensembles predicting mid-80s highs amid partly cloudy skies, sea breeze moderation, and scattered thunderstorms that capped further warming—conditions evident in real-time METAR reports showing temperatures dropping to the upper 70s by late afternoon. Slightly above the 85°F climatological normal for late April, the reading reflects typical subtropical patterns with low departure risk. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data audits or quality control revisions by NOAA, though historical precedent shows such adjustments affect less than 1% of daily records.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Miami on April 26?
86-87°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$183,571 Vol.
$183,571 Vol.
73°F or below
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
Yes
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
No
86-87°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$183,571 Vol.
$183,571 Vol.
73°F or below
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
Yes
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Official National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recorded the highest temperature of 87°F at 2:53 p.m. local time on April 26, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 86-87°F outcome as markets approach resolution. This peak, captured via automated surface observing system (ASOS) 1-minute measurements, aligns with pre-event forecast model consensus from NOAA ensembles predicting mid-80s highs amid partly cloudy skies, sea breeze moderation, and scattered thunderstorms that capped further warming—conditions evident in real-time METAR reports showing temperatures dropping to the upper 70s by late afternoon. Slightly above the 85°F climatological normal for late April, the reading reflects typical subtropical patterns with low departure risk. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data audits or quality control revisions by NOAA, though historical precedent shows such adjustments affect less than 1% of daily records.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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