Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Milan's highest temperature on April 18, with national services like Aeronautica Militare and 3B Meteo projecting around 24°C under partly sunny skies, while AccuWeather implies up to 26°C via warmer RealFeel amid light southerly winds. This clustering near 24-25°C stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Mediterranean delivering above-average spring warmth—historical April highs average 17-19°C at Milano Linate Airport—but differentiated by model spreads on afternoon cloud cover and convective potential, which could cap peaks via reduced solar insolation or boost them through urban heat island amplification in the Po Valley. Overnight ECMWF and GFS updates will refine diurnal maximum timing before observations resolve the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Milan on April 18?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 18?
25°C 31%
24°C 30%
23°C 15%
26°C 14%
$10,736 Vol.
$10,736 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
15%
24°C
30%
25°C
31%
26°C
14%
27°C
3%
28°C or higher
1%
25°C 31%
24°C 30%
23°C 15%
26°C 14%
$10,736 Vol.
$10,736 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
15%
24°C
30%
25°C
31%
26°C
14%
27°C
3%
28°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 16, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Milan's highest temperature on April 18, with national services like Aeronautica Militare and 3B Meteo projecting around 24°C under partly sunny skies, while AccuWeather implies up to 26°C via warmer RealFeel amid light southerly winds. This clustering near 24-25°C stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Mediterranean delivering above-average spring warmth—historical April highs average 17-19°C at Milano Linate Airport—but differentiated by model spreads on afternoon cloud cover and convective potential, which could cap peaks via reduced solar insolation or boost them through urban heat island amplification in the Po Valley. Overnight ECMWF and GFS updates will refine diurnal maximum timing before observations resolve the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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