Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 4°C in Moscow on April 19, driven by official METAR observations at Vnukovo International Airport—the market's resolution source via NOAA archives—which recorded sustained readings around 4°C through midday under persistent cloud cover and northerly winds gusting to 11 m/s. Roshydromet, Russia's authoritative Hydrometeorological Center, accurately forecasted daytime highs of 3–6°C amid an influx of cold Arctic air ahead of a low-pressure system, with light rain and wet snow further inhibiting solar heating. This aligns with recent model consensus showing suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms of 10–11°C. Realistic challenges would require a data revision uncovering an overlooked higher hourly peak, though full daily summaries reinforce the 4°C maximum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Moscow on April 19?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 19?
4°C 100.0%
-1°C or below <1%
0°C <1%
1°C <1%
$73,483 Vol.
$73,483 Vol.
19. Apr. 2026
-1°C or below
No
0°C
No
1°C
No
2°C
No
3°C
No
4°C
Yes
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C or higher
No
4°C 100.0%
-1°C or below <1%
0°C <1%
1°C <1%
$73,483 Vol.
$73,483 Vol.
19. Apr. 2026
-1°C or below
$1,631 Vol.
No
0°C
$1,132 Vol.
No
1°C
$1,428 Vol.
No
2°C
$2,404 Vol.
No
3°C
$5,748 Vol.
No
4°C
$12,948 Vol.
Yes
5°C
$9,185 Vol.
No
6°C
$8,061 Vol.
No
7°C
$11,479 Vol.
No
8°C
$6,492 Vol.
No
9°C or higher
$12,975 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 4°C in Moscow on April 19, driven by official METAR observations at Vnukovo International Airport—the market's resolution source via NOAA archives—which recorded sustained readings around 4°C through midday under persistent cloud cover and northerly winds gusting to 11 m/s. Roshydromet, Russia's authoritative Hydrometeorological Center, accurately forecasted daytime highs of 3–6°C amid an influx of cold Arctic air ahead of a low-pressure system, with light rain and wet snow further inhibiting solar heating. This aligns with recent model consensus showing suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms of 10–11°C. Realistic challenges would require a data revision uncovering an overlooked higher hourly peak, though full daily summaries reinforce the 4°C maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 17, 2026, 12:42 AM ET
Volumen
$73,483Enddatum
19. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 17, 2026, 12:42 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 4°C in Moscow on April 19, driven by official METAR observations at Vnukovo International Airport—the market's resolution source via NOAA archives—which recorded sustained readings around 4°C through midday under persistent cloud cover and northerly winds gusting to 11 m/s. Roshydromet, Russia's authoritative Hydrometeorological Center, accurately forecasted daytime highs of 3–6°C amid an influx of cold Arctic air ahead of a low-pressure system, with light rain and wet snow further inhibiting solar heating. This aligns with recent model consensus showing suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms of 10–11°C. Realistic challenges would require a data revision uncovering an overlooked higher hourly peak, though full daily summaries reinforce the 4°C maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$73,483Enddatum
19. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 17, 2026, 12:42 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 4°C in Moscow on April 19, driven by official METAR observations at Vnukovo International Airport—the market's resolution source via NOAA archives—which recorded sustained readings around 4°C through midday under persistent cloud cover and northerly winds gusting to 11 m/s. Roshydromet, Russia's authoritative Hydrometeorological Center, accurately forecasted daytime highs of 3–6°C amid an influx of cold Arctic air ahead of a low-pressure system, with light rain and wet snow further inhibiting solar heating. This aligns with recent model consensus showing suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms of 10–11°C. Realistic challenges would require a data revision uncovering an overlooked higher hourly peak, though full daily summaries reinforce the 4°C maximum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen