Forecast consensus from recent model runs places Moscow's July 15 maximum near 25–26 °C, aligning with the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities. Ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty in afternoon boundary-layer heating under variable cloud cover and weak pressure gradients, with some guidance indicating brief clearing that could push readings 1–2 °C higher while others favor lingering moisture limiting the peak. July climatology shows a long-term average high of roughly 24 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal yet within typical interannual variability. Updated high-resolution runs and observational assimilation over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Moskau am 15. Juli?
Höchste Temperatur in Moskau am 15. Juli?
23°C 100.0%
19°C oder darunter <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$68,752 Vol.
$68,752 Vol.
15. Juli 2026
19°C oder darunter
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Ja
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C oder höher
Nein
23°C 100.0%
19°C oder darunter <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$68,752 Vol.
$68,752 Vol.
15. Juli 2026
19°C oder darunter
$2,253 Vol.
Nein
20°C
$2,323 Vol.
Nein
21°C
$6,528 Vol.
Nein
22°C
$10,375 Vol.
Nein
23°C
$15,434 Vol.
Ja
24°C
$8,258 Vol.
Nein
25°C
$11,066 Vol.
Nein
26°C
$3,807 Vol.
Nein
27°C
$3,446 Vol.
Nein
28°C
$2,977 Vol.
Nein
29°C oder höher
$2,285 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from recent model runs places Moscow's July 15 maximum near 25–26 °C, aligning with the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities. Ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty in afternoon boundary-layer heating under variable cloud cover and weak pressure gradients, with some guidance indicating brief clearing that could push readings 1–2 °C higher while others favor lingering moisture limiting the peak. July climatology shows a long-term average high of roughly 24 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal yet within typical interannual variability. Updated high-resolution runs and observational assimilation over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$68,752Enddatum
15. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from recent model runs places Moscow's July 15 maximum near 25–26 °C, aligning with the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities. Ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty in afternoon boundary-layer heating under variable cloud cover and weak pressure gradients, with some guidance indicating brief clearing that could push readings 1–2 °C higher while others favor lingering moisture limiting the peak. July climatology shows a long-term average high of roughly 24 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal yet within typical interannual variability. Updated high-resolution runs and observational assimilation over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$68,752Enddatum
15. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Forecast consensus from recent model runs places Moscow's July 15 maximum near 25–26 °C, aligning with the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities. Ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty in afternoon boundary-layer heating under variable cloud cover and weak pressure gradients, with some guidance indicating brief clearing that could push readings 1–2 °C higher while others favor lingering moisture limiting the peak. July climatology shows a long-term average high of roughly 24 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal yet within typical interannual variability. Updated high-resolution runs and observational assimilation over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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