Recent forecasts for Moscow on July 16, 2026, cluster around 20–23 °C, aligning with the near-even market split between 20 °C and 21 °C as leading outcomes. Official guidance from the Met Office indicates a daytime maximum near 23 °C under variable conditions, while BBC models point to 21 °C with thundery showers and a northerly breeze that could limit afternoon heating. Ensemble differences in cloud cover, timing of any showers, and boundary-layer mixing create the narrow spread among 19–22 °C possibilities. Historical July maxima average near 24 °C, so current cooler steering patterns and modest instability keep higher thresholds (24 °C+) at low implied probability ahead of final model runs and observational updates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Moskau am 16. Juli?
19°C 100.0%
16°C oder darunter <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$52,320 Vol.
$52,320 Vol.
16°C oder darunter
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C
Ja
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C oder höher
Nein
19°C 100.0%
16°C oder darunter <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$52,320 Vol.
$52,320 Vol.
16°C oder darunter
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C
Ja
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Recent forecasts for Moscow on July 16, 2026, cluster around 20–23 °C, aligning with the near-even market split between 20 °C and 21 °C as leading outcomes. Official guidance from the Met Office indicates a daytime maximum near 23 °C under variable conditions, while BBC models point to 21 °C with thundery showers and a northerly breeze that could limit afternoon heating. Ensemble differences in cloud cover, timing of any showers, and boundary-layer mixing create the narrow spread among 19–22 °C possibilities. Historical July maxima average near 24 °C, so current cooler steering patterns and modest instability keep higher thresholds (24 °C+) at low implied probability ahead of final model runs and observational updates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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