Recent short-range model guidance from ECMWF and GFS places Moscow’s July 18 maximum near 24–26 °C, aligning with the tightly bunched market-implied odds centered on those bins. This range sits close to the city’s July climatological average high of roughly 23–24 °C, reflecting a transitional summer pattern where modest high-pressure influence and clear skies promote daytime heating while light winds and boundary-layer moisture introduce small uncertainties in peak temperature. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on forecast details such as exact cloud timing, surface wind speed, and how models resolve afternoon mixing, with updates expected from the next model cycles before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Moskau am 18. Juli?
Höchste Temperatur in Moskau am 18. Juli?
24°C 100.0%
19°C oder darunter <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$30,624 Vol.
$30,624 Vol.
18. Juli 2026
19°C oder darunter
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Ja
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C oder höher
Nein
24°C 100.0%
19°C oder darunter <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$30,624 Vol.
$30,624 Vol.
18. Juli 2026
19°C oder darunter
$760 Vol.
Nein
20°C
$644 Vol.
Nein
21°C
$542 Vol.
Nein
22°C
$2,370 Vol.
Nein
23°C
$3,361 Vol.
Nein
24°C
$5,549 Vol.
Ja
25°C
$8,102 Vol.
Nein
26°C
$4,688 Vol.
Nein
27°C
$2,232 Vol.
Nein
28°C
$1,701 Vol.
Nein
29°C oder höher
$675 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model guidance from ECMWF and GFS places Moscow’s July 18 maximum near 24–26 °C, aligning with the tightly bunched market-implied odds centered on those bins. This range sits close to the city’s July climatological average high of roughly 23–24 °C, reflecting a transitional summer pattern where modest high-pressure influence and clear skies promote daytime heating while light winds and boundary-layer moisture introduce small uncertainties in peak temperature. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on forecast details such as exact cloud timing, surface wind speed, and how models resolve afternoon mixing, with updates expected from the next model cycles before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 16, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volumen
$30,624Enddatum
18. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 16, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model guidance from ECMWF and GFS places Moscow’s July 18 maximum near 24–26 °C, aligning with the tightly bunched market-implied odds centered on those bins. This range sits close to the city’s July climatological average high of roughly 23–24 °C, reflecting a transitional summer pattern where modest high-pressure influence and clear skies promote daytime heating while light winds and boundary-layer moisture introduce small uncertainties in peak temperature. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on forecast details such as exact cloud timing, surface wind speed, and how models resolve afternoon mixing, with updates expected from the next model cycles before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$30,624Enddatum
18. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 16, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Recent short-range model guidance from ECMWF and GFS places Moscow’s July 18 maximum near 24–26 °C, aligning with the tightly bunched market-implied odds centered on those bins. This range sits close to the city’s July climatological average high of roughly 23–24 °C, reflecting a transitional summer pattern where modest high-pressure influence and clear skies promote daytime heating while light winds and boundary-layer moisture introduce small uncertainties in peak temperature. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on forecast details such as exact cloud timing, surface wind speed, and how models resolve afternoon mixing, with updates expected from the next model cycles before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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