Current model consensus from major global ensembles places Moscow’s July 20 maximum near 26–28 °C under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, directly supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Ensemble spread and subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing or afternoon cloud cover explain the near-even split between 26 °C, 27 °C, and 28 °C, while climatological July highs of 23–25 °C provide the baseline traders adjust upward against the latest runs. With resolution only two days away, morning updates from Russian meteorological observations and refined high-resolution guidance will be the next key inputs likely to shift probabilities among these adjacent bins.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Moskau am 20. Juli?
Höchste Temperatur in Moskau am 20. Juli?
26°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$59,583 Vol.
$59,583 Vol.
20. Juli 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Nein
31°C
Nein
32°C
Nein
33°C oder höher
Nein
26°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$59,583 Vol.
$59,583 Vol.
20. Juli 2026
23°C or below
$9,413 Vol.
No
24°C
$12,743 Vol.
No
25°C
$9,645 Vol.
No
26°C
$6,913 Vol.
Yes
27°C
$7,473 Vol.
No
28°C
$3,562 Vol.
No
29°C
$4,280 Vol.
No
30°C
$3,841 Vol.
Nein
31°C
$1,047 Vol.
Nein
32°C
$381 Vol.
Nein
33°C oder höher
$284 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current model consensus from major global ensembles places Moscow’s July 20 maximum near 26–28 °C under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, directly supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Ensemble spread and subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing or afternoon cloud cover explain the near-even split between 26 °C, 27 °C, and 28 °C, while climatological July highs of 23–25 °C provide the baseline traders adjust upward against the latest runs. With resolution only two days away, morning updates from Russian meteorological observations and refined high-resolution guidance will be the next key inputs likely to shift probabilities among these adjacent bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 18, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$59,583Enddatum
20. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 18, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current model consensus from major global ensembles places Moscow’s July 20 maximum near 26–28 °C under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, directly supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Ensemble spread and subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing or afternoon cloud cover explain the near-even split between 26 °C, 27 °C, and 28 °C, while climatological July highs of 23–25 °C provide the baseline traders adjust upward against the latest runs. With resolution only two days away, morning updates from Russian meteorological observations and refined high-resolution guidance will be the next key inputs likely to shift probabilities among these adjacent bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$59,583Enddatum
20. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 18, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Current model consensus from major global ensembles places Moscow’s July 20 maximum near 26–28 °C under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, directly supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Ensemble spread and subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing or afternoon cloud cover explain the near-even split between 26 °C, 27 °C, and 28 °C, while climatological July highs of 23–25 °C provide the baseline traders adjust upward against the latest runs. With resolution only two days away, morning updates from Russian meteorological observations and refined high-resolution guidance will be the next key inputs likely to shift probabilities among these adjacent bins.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen