Forecast models from global ensembles indicate Moscow's July 6 maximum temperature will likely peak near 21–23 °C, aligning with the market's concentration on those bins. Short-range guidance shows a weak surface high and lingering cloud cover limiting diurnal heating, while modest westerly flow keeps values close to seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger ridging. Ensemble spread remains modest, reflecting uncertainty in exact timing of any showers that could cap afternoon readings by 1–2 °C. Traders weigh the latest 00Z and 12Z runs against historical July variability, where comparable setups have produced outcomes clustered around the observed central tendency.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Moskau am 6. Juli?
Höchste Temperatur in Moskau am 6. Juli?
22°C 100.0%
18°C oder weniger <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$81,369 Vol.
$81,369 Vol.
6. Juli 2026
18°C oder weniger
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Ja
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C oder höher
Nein
22°C 100.0%
18°C oder weniger <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$81,369 Vol.
$81,369 Vol.
6. Juli 2026
18°C oder weniger
$3,183 Vol.
Nein
19°C
$4,146 Vol.
Nein
20°C
$4,911 Vol.
Nein
21°C
$5,696 Vol.
Nein
22°C
$31,162 Vol.
Ja
23°C
$15,876 Vol.
Nein
24°C
$4,012 Vol.
Nein
25°C
$3,624 Vol.
Nein
26°C
$3,217 Vol.
Nein
27°C
$3,149 Vol.
Nein
28°C oder höher
$2,394 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from global ensembles indicate Moscow's July 6 maximum temperature will likely peak near 21–23 °C, aligning with the market's concentration on those bins. Short-range guidance shows a weak surface high and lingering cloud cover limiting diurnal heating, while modest westerly flow keeps values close to seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger ridging. Ensemble spread remains modest, reflecting uncertainty in exact timing of any showers that could cap afternoon readings by 1–2 °C. Traders weigh the latest 00Z and 12Z runs against historical July variability, where comparable setups have produced outcomes clustered around the observed central tendency.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volumen
$81,369Enddatum
6. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from global ensembles indicate Moscow's July 6 maximum temperature will likely peak near 21–23 °C, aligning with the market's concentration on those bins. Short-range guidance shows a weak surface high and lingering cloud cover limiting diurnal heating, while modest westerly flow keeps values close to seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger ridging. Ensemble spread remains modest, reflecting uncertainty in exact timing of any showers that could cap afternoon readings by 1–2 °C. Traders weigh the latest 00Z and 12Z runs against historical July variability, where comparable setups have produced outcomes clustered around the observed central tendency.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$81,369Enddatum
6. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Forecast models from global ensembles indicate Moscow's July 6 maximum temperature will likely peak near 21–23 °C, aligning with the market's concentration on those bins. Short-range guidance shows a weak surface high and lingering cloud cover limiting diurnal heating, while modest westerly flow keeps values close to seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger ridging. Ensemble spread remains modest, reflecting uncertainty in exact timing of any showers that could cap afternoon readings by 1–2 °C. Traders weigh the latest 00Z and 12Z runs against historical July variability, where comparable setups have produced outcomes clustered around the observed central tendency.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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