Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate Moscow will reach daytime highs of at least 20°C on June 1, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus for that threshold. Early June climatology supports this positioning, as the warm season begins with average highs near 19–20°C and rising solar radiation driving typical temperatures above 18°C. Official monitoring shows no significant cold air intrusions or cloud cover that would suppress maxima below this level, while ensemble runs converge on mild conditions with light winds. A sudden shift in steering patterns or unseasonal precipitation could theoretically cap readings lower, though such developments remain inconsistent with the latest observational data and model guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Moscow on June 1?
20°C or higher 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$45,560 Vol.
$45,560 Vol.
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
Yes
20°C or higher 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$45,560 Vol.
$45,560 Vol.
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: May 30, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate Moscow will reach daytime highs of at least 20°C on June 1, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus for that threshold. Early June climatology supports this positioning, as the warm season begins with average highs near 19–20°C and rising solar radiation driving typical temperatures above 18°C. Official monitoring shows no significant cold air intrusions or cloud cover that would suppress maxima below this level, while ensemble runs converge on mild conditions with light winds. A sudden shift in steering patterns or unseasonal precipitation could theoretically cap readings lower, though such developments remain inconsistent with the latest observational data and model guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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