Current ensemble forecasts from major meteorological models project Moscow's June 27 daytime maximum near 22°C, with light winds, patchy cloud cover, and a chance of sprinkles limiting peak heating. Recent model runs show modest spread around 20–23°C depending on exact timing of any showers and boundary-layer mixing, while climatological norms for late June hover near 22°C. These factors explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 20–22°C brackets, with traders weighing short-range uncertainty in cloud fraction and precipitation timing against stable large-scale flow. Updated guidance over the next 48 hours will refine resolution odds ahead of the June 27 close.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Moskau am 27. Juni?
21°C 100.0%
17°C oder niedriger <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$40,419 Vol.
$40,419 Vol.
17°C oder niedriger
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Ja
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C oder höher
Nein
21°C 100.0%
17°C oder niedriger <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$40,419 Vol.
$40,419 Vol.
17°C oder niedriger
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Ja
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 25, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Current ensemble forecasts from major meteorological models project Moscow's June 27 daytime maximum near 22°C, with light winds, patchy cloud cover, and a chance of sprinkles limiting peak heating. Recent model runs show modest spread around 20–23°C depending on exact timing of any showers and boundary-layer mixing, while climatological norms for late June hover near 22°C. These factors explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 20–22°C brackets, with traders weighing short-range uncertainty in cloud fraction and precipitation timing against stable large-scale flow. Updated guidance over the next 48 hours will refine resolution odds ahead of the June 27 close.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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