Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 95.5% implied probability to a high of 33°C or higher in Panama City on May 9, driven by the latest forecasts from AccuWeather and aligned meteorological models projecting peaks near 34°C (94°F) under mostly sunny skies at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport station. Recent Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá (IMHEPA) updates highlight fewer scattered showers (aguaceros dispersos) than earlier in the week, enabling stronger solar insolation and convective inhibition in the tropical climate, where May averages hover around 31°C. This positioning reflects robust agreement across forecast ensembles, with minimal cloud cover expected. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon thunderstorm development, which could introduce shading and precipitation to cap temperatures below 33°C before daily maximum observation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Panama City am 9. Mai?
Höchste Temperatur in Panama City am 9. Mai?
33°C oder höher 100.0%
23°C oder darunter <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$18,713 Vol.
$18,713 Vol.
9. Mai 2026
23°C oder darunter
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C
Nein
32°C
Nein
33°C oder höher
Ja
33°C oder höher 100.0%
23°C oder darunter <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$18,713 Vol.
$18,713 Vol.
9. Mai 2026
23°C oder darunter
$641 Vol.
Nein
24°C
$555 Vol.
Nein
25°C
$1,597 Vol.
Nein
26°C
$982 Vol.
Nein
27°C
$1,099 Vol.
Nein
28°C
$892 Vol.
Nein
29°C
$1,292 Vol.
Nein
30°C
$1,442 Vol.
Nein
31°C
$1,798 Vol.
Nein
32°C
$5,011 Vol.
Nein
33°C oder höher
$3,403 Vol.
Ja
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 95.5% implied probability to a high of 33°C or higher in Panama City on May 9, driven by the latest forecasts from AccuWeather and aligned meteorological models projecting peaks near 34°C (94°F) under mostly sunny skies at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport station. Recent Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá (IMHEPA) updates highlight fewer scattered showers (aguaceros dispersos) than earlier in the week, enabling stronger solar insolation and convective inhibition in the tropical climate, where May averages hover around 31°C. This positioning reflects robust agreement across forecast ensembles, with minimal cloud cover expected. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon thunderstorm development, which could introduce shading and precipitation to cap temperatures below 33°C before daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volumen
$18,713Enddatum
9. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 95.5% implied probability to a high of 33°C or higher in Panama City on May 9, driven by the latest forecasts from AccuWeather and aligned meteorological models projecting peaks near 34°C (94°F) under mostly sunny skies at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport station. Recent Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá (IMHEPA) updates highlight fewer scattered showers (aguaceros dispersos) than earlier in the week, enabling stronger solar insolation and convective inhibition in the tropical climate, where May averages hover around 31°C. This positioning reflects robust agreement across forecast ensembles, with minimal cloud cover expected. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon thunderstorm development, which could introduce shading and precipitation to cap temperatures below 33°C before daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$18,713Enddatum
9. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 95.5% implied probability to a high of 33°C or higher in Panama City on May 9, driven by the latest forecasts from AccuWeather and aligned meteorological models projecting peaks near 34°C (94°F) under mostly sunny skies at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport station. Recent Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá (IMHEPA) updates highlight fewer scattered showers (aguaceros dispersos) than earlier in the week, enabling stronger solar insolation and convective inhibition in the tropical climate, where May averages hover around 31°C. This positioning reflects robust agreement across forecast ensembles, with minimal cloud cover expected. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon thunderstorm development, which could introduce shading and precipitation to cap temperatures below 33°C before daily maximum observation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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