Trader consensus in the Qingdao July 18 maximum-temperature market centers on 28–31 °C because typical mid-July synoptic patterns over the Yellow Sea produce moderate onshore flow that caps daytime heating near the long-term average high of 27–28 °C. Coastal sea breezes and higher humidity frequently suppress peaks relative to inland Shandong stations, while any shift to southwesterly flow or reduced cloud cover can add 2–4 °C. Recent model guidance shows limited spread in 850 hPa temperatures and boundary-layer moisture, keeping 32 °C and higher outcomes at low implied probability. Forecasters will watch the next 48-hour runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF for changes in low-level wind direction or subsidence that could tip resolution between the closely matched 28 °C and 31 °C bins.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Qingdao am 18. Juli?
Höchste Temperatur in Qingdao am 18. Juli?
31°C 100.0%
25°C oder darunter <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$34,350 Vol.
$34,350 Vol.
18. Juli 2026
25°C oder darunter
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C
Ja
32°C
Nein
33°C
Nein
34°C
Nein
35°C oder höher
Nein
31°C 100.0%
25°C oder darunter <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$34,350 Vol.
$34,350 Vol.
18. Juli 2026
25°C oder darunter
$987 Vol.
Nein
26°C
$2,190 Vol.
Nein
27°C
$3,338 Vol.
Nein
28°C
$1,980 Vol.
Nein
29°C
$4,016 Vol.
Nein
30°C
$4,594 Vol.
Nein
31°C
$8,262 Vol.
Ja
32°C
$3,359 Vol.
Nein
33°C
$4,073 Vol.
Nein
34°C
$902 Vol.
Nein
35°C oder höher
$647 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in the Qingdao July 18 maximum-temperature market centers on 28–31 °C because typical mid-July synoptic patterns over the Yellow Sea produce moderate onshore flow that caps daytime heating near the long-term average high of 27–28 °C. Coastal sea breezes and higher humidity frequently suppress peaks relative to inland Shandong stations, while any shift to southwesterly flow or reduced cloud cover can add 2–4 °C. Recent model guidance shows limited spread in 850 hPa temperatures and boundary-layer moisture, keeping 32 °C and higher outcomes at low implied probability. Forecasters will watch the next 48-hour runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF for changes in low-level wind direction or subsidence that could tip resolution between the closely matched 28 °C and 31 °C bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$34,350Enddatum
18. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in the Qingdao July 18 maximum-temperature market centers on 28–31 °C because typical mid-July synoptic patterns over the Yellow Sea produce moderate onshore flow that caps daytime heating near the long-term average high of 27–28 °C. Coastal sea breezes and higher humidity frequently suppress peaks relative to inland Shandong stations, while any shift to southwesterly flow or reduced cloud cover can add 2–4 °C. Recent model guidance shows limited spread in 850 hPa temperatures and boundary-layer moisture, keeping 32 °C and higher outcomes at low implied probability. Forecasters will watch the next 48-hour runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF for changes in low-level wind direction or subsidence that could tip resolution between the closely matched 28 °C and 31 °C bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$34,350Enddatum
18. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Trader consensus in the Qingdao July 18 maximum-temperature market centers on 28–31 °C because typical mid-July synoptic patterns over the Yellow Sea produce moderate onshore flow that caps daytime heating near the long-term average high of 27–28 °C. Coastal sea breezes and higher humidity frequently suppress peaks relative to inland Shandong stations, while any shift to southwesterly flow or reduced cloud cover can add 2–4 °C. Recent model guidance shows limited spread in 850 hPa temperatures and boundary-layer moisture, keeping 32 °C and higher outcomes at low implied probability. Forecasters will watch the next 48-hour runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF for changes in low-level wind direction or subsidence that could tip resolution between the closely matched 28 °C and 31 °C bins.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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