Recent forecasts for Qingdao indicate daytime highs near 26°C on July 4 under persistent cloud cover and northeasterly onshore flow from the Yellow Sea, which typically suppresses maximum temperatures through marine moderation and elevated humidity near 80%. This aligns with early-July climatology of 27–29°C averages while highlighting why 30–32°C outcomes hold elevated market-implied odds: brief clearing or warmer inland advection could allow greater solar heating and push readings higher. Numerical weather models show modest spread on boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing, creating the tight clustering around 30–32°C versus cooler bins. Updated guidance from regional meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Qingdao am 4. Juli?
Höchste Temperatur in Qingdao am 4. Juli?
30°C 100.0%
23°C oder niedriger <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$60,788 Vol.
$60,788 Vol.
4. Juli 2026
23°C oder niedriger
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C
Ja
31°C
Nein
32°C
Nein
33°C oder höher
Nein
30°C 100.0%
23°C oder niedriger <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$60,788 Vol.
$60,788 Vol.
4. Juli 2026
23°C oder niedriger
$3,143 Vol.
Nein
24°C
$1,975 Vol.
Nein
25°C
$2,509 Vol.
Nein
26°C
$4,160 Vol.
Nein
27°C
$12,339 Vol.
Nein
28°C
$5,537 Vol.
Nein
29°C
$9,907 Vol.
Nein
30°C
$7,115 Vol.
Ja
31°C
$3,982 Vol.
Nein
32°C
$4,257 Vol.
Nein
33°C oder höher
$5,865 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Qingdao indicate daytime highs near 26°C on July 4 under persistent cloud cover and northeasterly onshore flow from the Yellow Sea, which typically suppresses maximum temperatures through marine moderation and elevated humidity near 80%. This aligns with early-July climatology of 27–29°C averages while highlighting why 30–32°C outcomes hold elevated market-implied odds: brief clearing or warmer inland advection could allow greater solar heating and push readings higher. Numerical weather models show modest spread on boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing, creating the tight clustering around 30–32°C versus cooler bins. Updated guidance from regional meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$60,788Enddatum
4. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Qingdao indicate daytime highs near 26°C on July 4 under persistent cloud cover and northeasterly onshore flow from the Yellow Sea, which typically suppresses maximum temperatures through marine moderation and elevated humidity near 80%. This aligns with early-July climatology of 27–29°C averages while highlighting why 30–32°C outcomes hold elevated market-implied odds: brief clearing or warmer inland advection could allow greater solar heating and push readings higher. Numerical weather models show modest spread on boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing, creating the tight clustering around 30–32°C versus cooler bins. Updated guidance from regional meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$60,788Enddatum
4. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Recent forecasts for Qingdao indicate daytime highs near 26°C on July 4 under persistent cloud cover and northeasterly onshore flow from the Yellow Sea, which typically suppresses maximum temperatures through marine moderation and elevated humidity near 80%. This aligns with early-July climatology of 27–29°C averages while highlighting why 30–32°C outcomes hold elevated market-implied odds: brief clearing or warmer inland advection could allow greater solar heating and push readings higher. Numerical weather models show modest spread on boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing, creating the tight clustering around 30–32°C versus cooler bins. Updated guidance from regional meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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