Short-term forecast uncertainty around the marine layer and onshore flow is the main driver behind the closely matched market odds favoring a San Francisco high of 68–71°F on July 23. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models show modest afternoon warming as stratus clears, with sea-surface temperatures near seasonal norms and light winds limiting further rise above the upper 60s. Historical July maxima average near 69°F, but day-to-day variability from coastal eddy timing and inversion strength creates genuine spread across the 66–73°F bins. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in San Francisco am 23. Juli?
Höchste Temperatur in San Francisco am 23. Juli?
68-69°F 100.0%
57°F oder weniger <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$49,805 Vol.
$49,805 Vol.
23. Juli 2026
57°F oder weniger
Nein
58-59°F
Nein
60-61°F
Nein
62-63°F
Nein
64-65°F
Nein
66-67 °F
Nein
68-69°F
Ja
70-71°F
Nein
72-73°F
Nein
74-75°F
Nein
76°F oder höher
Nein
68-69°F 100.0%
57°F oder weniger <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$49,805 Vol.
$49,805 Vol.
23. Juli 2026
57°F oder weniger
$454 Vol.
Nein
58-59°F
$2,653 Vol.
Nein
60-61°F
$517 Vol.
Nein
62-63°F
$648 Vol.
Nein
64-65°F
$4,857 Vol.
Nein
66-67 °F
$3,222 Vol.
Nein
68-69°F
$6,728 Vol.
Ja
70-71°F
$19,066 Vol.
Nein
72-73°F
$4,468 Vol.
Nein
74-75°F
$4,039 Vol.
Nein
76°F oder höher
$3,154 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecast uncertainty around the marine layer and onshore flow is the main driver behind the closely matched market odds favoring a San Francisco high of 68–71°F on July 23. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models show modest afternoon warming as stratus clears, with sea-surface temperatures near seasonal norms and light winds limiting further rise above the upper 60s. Historical July maxima average near 69°F, but day-to-day variability from coastal eddy timing and inversion strength creates genuine spread across the 66–73°F bins. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 21, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volumen
$49,805Enddatum
23. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 21, 2026, 9:03 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecast uncertainty around the marine layer and onshore flow is the main driver behind the closely matched market odds favoring a San Francisco high of 68–71°F on July 23. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models show modest afternoon warming as stratus clears, with sea-surface temperatures near seasonal norms and light winds limiting further rise above the upper 60s. Historical July maxima average near 69°F, but day-to-day variability from coastal eddy timing and inversion strength creates genuine spread across the 66–73°F bins. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$49,805Enddatum
23. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 21, 2026, 9:03 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Short-term forecast uncertainty around the marine layer and onshore flow is the main driver behind the closely matched market odds favoring a San Francisco high of 68–71°F on July 23. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models show modest afternoon warming as stratus clears, with sea-surface temperatures near seasonal norms and light winds limiting further rise above the upper 60s. Historical July maxima average near 69°F, but day-to-day variability from coastal eddy timing and inversion strength creates genuine spread across the 66–73°F bins. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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