Trader consensus on the 68-69°F outcome for San Francisco’s June 15 high reflects National Weather Service forecasts and the city’s persistent marine-layer influence, which caps daytime temperatures through onshore flow and coastal stratus. June climatology shows average highs near 68-70°F at official stations like KSFO, with fog and upwelling typically suppressing readings above the mid-70s. Pre-event model runs aligned closely with this range, producing minimal dispersion and driving near-certain market pricing. A rapid marine-layer erosion or anomalous offshore flow could have allowed readings into the low 70s, yet no such shift materialized in the final observational data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in San Francisco am 15. Juni?
68-69°F 100.0%
65°F oder darunter <1%
66-67°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$50,306 Vol.
$50,306 Vol.
65°F oder darunter
Nein
66-67°F
Nein
68-69°F
Ja
70-71°F
Nein
72-73°F
Nein
74-75°F
Nein
76-77°F
Nein
78-79°F
Nein
80-81°F
Nein
82-83°F
Nein
84°F oder höher
Nein
68-69°F 100.0%
65°F oder darunter <1%
66-67°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$50,306 Vol.
$50,306 Vol.
65°F oder darunter
Nein
66-67°F
Nein
68-69°F
Ja
70-71°F
Nein
72-73°F
Nein
74-75°F
Nein
76-77°F
Nein
78-79°F
Nein
80-81°F
Nein
82-83°F
Nein
84°F oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 13, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Trader consensus on the 68-69°F outcome for San Francisco’s June 15 high reflects National Weather Service forecasts and the city’s persistent marine-layer influence, which caps daytime temperatures through onshore flow and coastal stratus. June climatology shows average highs near 68-70°F at official stations like KSFO, with fog and upwelling typically suppressing readings above the mid-70s. Pre-event model runs aligned closely with this range, producing minimal dispersion and driving near-certain market pricing. A rapid marine-layer erosion or anomalous offshore flow could have allowed readings into the low 70s, yet no such shift materialized in the final observational data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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