Persistent marine layer influence and moderate onshore flow kept coastal San Francisco temperatures suppressed on June 16, 2026, with National Weather Service observations at key stations confirming a daily maximum of 70–71°F. This aligned with model consensus from prior days showing limited warming under typical early-summer stratus patterns and no significant offshore wind events to enhance adiabatic heating. Official climatological summaries and airport data (KSFO) recorded values squarely in this narrow band, driving the market's near-certain implied probability for the 70–71°F outcome. An unexpected clearing of the marine layer or stronger high-pressure ridging could have pushed readings higher, but those conditions did not materialize.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in San Francisco on June 16?
70-71°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$68,786 Vol.
$68,786 Vol.
65°F or below
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
Yes
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84°F or higher
No
70-71°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$68,786 Vol.
$68,786 Vol.
65°F or below
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
Yes
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 14, 2026, 9:11 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Persistent marine layer influence and moderate onshore flow kept coastal San Francisco temperatures suppressed on June 16, 2026, with National Weather Service observations at key stations confirming a daily maximum of 70–71°F. This aligned with model consensus from prior days showing limited warming under typical early-summer stratus patterns and no significant offshore wind events to enhance adiabatic heating. Official climatological summaries and airport data (KSFO) recorded values squarely in this narrow band, driving the market's near-certain implied probability for the 70–71°F outcome. An unexpected clearing of the marine layer or stronger high-pressure ridging could have pushed readings higher, but those conditions did not materialize.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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