Trader consensus clusters tightly around 66–71°F for San Francisco’s official high on June 22 because short-range models and National Weather Service guidance show persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer capping daytime warming near the coast. This classic June pattern—stratus and fog burning off by midday—typically limits peaks to the mid-to-upper 60s at the KSFO station, with slight variations depending on the depth of the inversion and exact wind direction. Ensemble spreads remain modest, supporting the near-even probabilities across those three brackets, while warmer outcomes above 72°F require a stronger offshore component that current guidance does not indicate. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the final range before the daily maximum is recorded.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in San Francisco am 22. Juni?
66-67°F 100.0%
61°F oder niedriger <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$45,896 Vol.
$45,896 Vol.
61°F oder niedriger
Nein
62-63°F
Nein
64-65°F
Nein
66-67°F
Ja
68-69°F
Nein
70-71°F
Nein
72–73°F
Nein
74-75°F
Nein
76-77°F
Nein
78-79°F
Nein
80°F oder höher
Nein
66-67°F 100.0%
61°F oder niedriger <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$45,896 Vol.
$45,896 Vol.
61°F oder niedriger
Nein
62-63°F
Nein
64-65°F
Nein
66-67°F
Ja
68-69°F
Nein
70-71°F
Nein
72–73°F
Nein
74-75°F
Nein
76-77°F
Nein
78-79°F
Nein
80°F oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 20, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Trader consensus clusters tightly around 66–71°F for San Francisco’s official high on June 22 because short-range models and National Weather Service guidance show persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer capping daytime warming near the coast. This classic June pattern—stratus and fog burning off by midday—typically limits peaks to the mid-to-upper 60s at the KSFO station, with slight variations depending on the depth of the inversion and exact wind direction. Ensemble spreads remain modest, supporting the near-even probabilities across those three brackets, while warmer outcomes above 72°F require a stronger offshore component that current guidance does not indicate. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the final range before the daily maximum is recorded.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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